Fayette County Market Heat Score: A Balanced View

Deal of the Week

302 Cochran ST, Muldoon TX 78949
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $215,000 302 Cochran ST, Muldoon TX 78949 · MLS #8208878 Listed at $59,000, 4 bed, 1 bath, 1,048 sq ft. Listed 56% below the ALEX valuation; 83% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 34% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186564871/302-Cochran-ST-Muldoon-TX Lower-middle quartile: $215,000 to $321,000 1135 Red Fox RD, La Grange TX 78945 · MLS #5489945 Listed at $310,900, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,192 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1173699792/1135-Red-Fox-RD-La-Grange-TX Upper-middle quartile: $321,000 to $553,000 215 Paulus ST, Schulenburg TX 78956 · MLS #1591096 Listed at $374,995, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,267 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180650065/215-Paulus-ST-Schulenburg-TX Upper quartile: $553,000 and up 109 Cernosek RD, La Grange TX 78945 · MLS #5498991 Listed at $599,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,100 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180110236/109-Cernosek-RD-La-Grange-TX

Key figures · Fayette County · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

What does the current market velocity mean for Fayette County? This composite index blends four key indicators to gauge whether conditions favor buyers or sellers. The score is derived from median days on market, the ratio of final sale price to original list price, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. In the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, Fayette County recorded 34 closed sales with a median close price of $299,000. Homes spent an average of 72 days on market, a figure that has dropped 33.3% compared to the prior six-month period but remains 41.2% higher than the same window last year. The median sale-to-original list ratio stood at 89.6%, indicating that most homes sold for less than their initial asking price. ALEX Intelligence calculated this heat score by weighting these metrics: market speed (days on market), pricing power (sale-to-list ratio), supply tightness (months of inventory), and seller flexibility (price cuts). With 10.59 months of active inventory, the supply side is currently dominant. The data shows that 91.2% of closed sales went below the original list price, suggesting a buyer-friendly environment where negotiation remains common. While the median price per square foot held steady at $175 compared to last year, the overall market velocity has slowed relative to historical norms. This score reflects a balanced but leaning-buyer market where patience and strategic pricing are essential for sellers, while buyers have ample selection and leverage. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
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Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=34
Cover photo: Overlook near Kirtley, Fayette County ("Overlook near Kirtley, Texas - panoramio") by Todd Dwyer, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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