| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Fayette County: How Rates Shape Buying Power in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-21
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $215,000
302 Cochran ST, Muldoon TX 78949 · MLS #8208878
Listed at $59,000, 4 bed, 1 bath, 1,048 sq ft. Listed 56% below the ALEX valuation; 83% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 34% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186564871/302-Cochran-ST-Muldoon-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $215,000 to $321,000
1135 Red Fox RD, La Grange TX 78945 · MLS #5489945
Listed at $310,900, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,192 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1173699792/1135-Red-Fox-RD-La-Grange-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $321,000 to $553,000
215 Paulus ST, Schulenburg TX 78956 · MLS #1591096
Listed at $374,995, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,267 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180650065/215-Paulus-ST-Schulenburg-TX
Upper quartile: $553,000 and up
109 Cernosek RD, La Grange TX 78945 · MLS #5498991
Listed at $599,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,100 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180110236/109-Cernosek-RD-La-Grange-TX
Key figures · Fayette County · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 34 homes sold in Fayette County in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 20.9% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $299,000 (up 4.9% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $175.
- Median days on market: 72.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 89.6%.
- 58 homes for sale now, about 10.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a 7.32% mortgage rate mean for a buyer in Fayette County today? With the median closed price at $299,000 across 34 sales in the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, monthly payments are sensitive to every basis point. A standard 30-year fixed loan on that median price yields a principal-and-interest payment of $1,643 at the current rate.
ALEX Intelligence modeled two common buydown structures to show how they shift cash flow. A 3-2-1 buydown reduces the note rate to 4.32% in year one, cutting the monthly payment by $456 compared to the base rate. The total cost of that buydown is $11,124, or 3.72% of the median sale price. A 2-1 buydown brings the rate to 5.32% in year one, saving $312 monthly for a total cost of $5,652, or 1.89% of the median sale price.
These scenarios use the loan amount and payment figures provided in the data for the median price. The data shows that while prices have risen 4.9% versus the same period last year, the higher rate environment means buyers must weigh upfront buydown costs against long-term affordability. All model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026; Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of Oct 22, 2026
Cover photo: Overlook near Kirtley, Fayette County ("Overlook near Kirtley, Texas - panoramio") by Todd Dwyer, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov







