| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Fayette County New Listings vs. Closings Show Supply Gap
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-20
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $215,000
302 Cochran ST, Muldoon TX 78949 · MLS #8208878
Listed at $59,000, 4 bed, 1 bath, 1,048 sq ft. Listed 56% below the ALEX valuation; 83% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 34% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186564871/302-Cochran-ST-Muldoon-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $215,000 to $321,000
1135 Red Fox RD, La Grange TX 78945 · MLS #5489945
Listed at $310,900, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,192 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1173699792/1135-Red-Fox-RD-La-Grange-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $321,000 to $553,000
215 Paulus ST, Schulenburg TX 78956 · MLS #1591096
Listed at $374,995, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,267 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180650065/215-Paulus-ST-Schulenburg-TX
Upper quartile: $553,000 and up
109 Cernosek RD, La Grange TX 78945 · MLS #5498991
Listed at $599,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,100 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180110236/109-Cernosek-RD-La-Grange-TX
Key figures · Fayette County · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 34 homes sold in Fayette County in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 20.9% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $299,000 (up 4.9% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $175.
- Median days on market: 72.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 89.6%.
- 58 homes for sale now, about 10.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Fayette County is currently experiencing a distinct shift in its housing supply dynamics as new listings outpace closings over the last six months. The data shows 49 new listings entered the market while only 34 closed sales occurred, creating a net addition to inventory during this period. This imbalance suggests that for buyers, there is a growing selection of available homes, while sellers face a slower absorption rate compared to previous windows.
ALEX Intelligence applied a dual-axis supply and demand trend analysis to compare new listing counts against closed sales volumes. In the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, the market saw 49 new listings against 34 closed sales. This indicates a transition where the pace of new supply is exceeding the rate at which homes are selling, contrasting with tighter markets where demand typically outstrips fresh listings.
The median days on market for these transactions has also shifted, rising to 72 days across 34 closed sales compared to 108 days across 28 closed sales in the prior six-month window, though this remains significantly higher than the 51 days across 43 closed sales recorded in the same period last year. The number of new listings rose from 36 to 49, while closed sales increased from 28 to 34. This divergence highlights a market where inventory is accumulating faster than it is being absorbed, potentially stabilizing prices or creating more negotiating leverage for buyers who are not facing immediate competition from other offers.
The supply gap remains a key indicator for local trends, as the current flow of 49 new listings against 34 closings suggests a gradual cooling in demand relative to the rate of new supply entering Fayette County.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=34 closed sales and 49 new listings
Cover photo: Overlook near Kirtley, Fayette County ("Overlook near Kirtley, Texas - panoramio") by Todd Dwyer, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov







