New Braunfels Market Heat Score: Cooling in September

What does a median price drop of 17.6% mean for New Braunfels buyers and sellers? In September 2026, the market cooled significantly compared to the same month last year. ALEX Intelligence calculated a Market Heat Score of 32 out of 100 by weighing days on market, sale-to-list ratios, inventory levels, and price reductions. The score reflects a shift toward buyer leverage. Median closed prices fell to $331,500, down 17.6% from September 2025, while the median days on market rose to 71 days, up 26.8% year-over-year. Only 13 homes sold in the month, a 45.8% decline from the prior year. The share of homes selling below original list price climbed to 92.3%, and the average sale-to-list ratio dropped to 88.1%. Inventory remains elevated with 140 active listings, creating roughly 4.9 months of supply. This volume pushes the market away from a seller's environment toward a balanced or buyer-favorable state. The composite index combines these factors: slower sales velocity, deeper price concessions, and higher inventory relative to closings. Current mortgage rates stand at 7.24% as of late October 2026. While affordability calculations depend on individual financing, the combination of lower prices and longer market times suggests buyers have more negotiating power now than in recent months. This score is an ALEX Intelligence estimate based on current sales activity, not a prediction of future price movements. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Coverage: most home sales in New Braunfels are listed in another MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog