| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Canyon Lake: How Rates and Buydowns Affect Buying Power
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-12
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $316,000
1582 Valley DR, Canyon Lake TX 78133 · MLS #9580421
Listed at $227,999, 2 bed, 1 bath, 1,120 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189362690/1582-Valley-DR-Canyon-Lake-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $316,000 to $396,000
1720 Rocky Ridge LOOP, Canyon Lake TX 78133 · MLS #8334286
Listed at $387,500, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,581 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183452697/1720-Rocky-Ridge-LOOP-Canyon-Lake-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $396,000 to $717,000
1615 Rocky Ridge Loop, Canyon Lake TX 78133 · MLS #6361576
Listed at $419,500, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,681 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185267830/1615-Rocky-Ridge-Loop-Canyon-Lake-TX
Upper quartile: $717,000 and up
226 Bobby Clark DR, Canyon Lake TX 78133 · MLS #5685753
Listed at $750,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 3,002 sq ft. Listed 34% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 36% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1167705574/226-Bobby-Clark-DR-Canyon-Lake-TX
Key figures · Canyon Lake · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 46 homes sold in Canyon Lake in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 9.5% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $398,625 (down 12.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $240.
- Median days on market: 74.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.2%.
- 96 homes for sale now, about 12.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a 7.18% mortgage rate mean for buyers in Canyon Lake today? With the median closed price at $398,625 across 46 single-family homes in the rolling six months ending Oct 31, 2026, monthly payments are sensitive to even small rate shifts. A standard 30-year fixed loan with a loan amount of $318,900 on that median price yields a principal-and-interest payment of $2,160 at the current rate.
ALEX Intelligence modeled two common buydown scenarios to show how they change affordability. A 3-2-1 buydown lowers the note rate to 4.18% in year one, cutting the monthly payment by $604 and saving $7,248 that year; it drops to a $413 monthly savings in year two and $211 in year three. The total cost of this buydown is $14,736, or 3.7% of the median sale price. A 2-1 buydown reduces the rate to 5.18% in year one and 6.18% in year two, with a total cost of $7,488, or 1.88% of the median price.
These figures are estimates based on the median sale price and do not include taxes, insurance, or fees. They illustrate how buydowns can improve cash flow for buyers at current rates, but they also show the upfront cost required to achieve those savings. The data reflects ABOR-listed sales only; other listings may differ.
ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Coverage: most home sales in Canyon Lake are listed in another MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only; Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of Nov 5, 2026
Cover photo: Canyon Lake TX wide by unknown, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










