| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club. |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al. |
| Texas License #574878-B · Texas Broker License #565194-BB |
| Broker · North Carolina License #367733 |
| Independent Broker · Colorado License #II.100112456 |
| Broker · Alabama License #000178406 |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| Join any of our 46 LinkedIn Groups spanning Quantum, AI and Tennessee to Texas. |
| Follow one or all of our 106 greater Austin communities, cities and counties on our Blog. |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Lockhart New Listings vs. Closings: The Supply Gap
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-03
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $220,000
36 Trinity CIR, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #3526336
Listed at $209,900, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,468 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190303525/36-Trinity-CIR-Lockhart-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $220,000 to $275,000
914 Plum ST, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #5950657
Listed at $224,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,573 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184709500/914-Plum-ST-Lockhart-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $275,000 to $395,000
333 Melody RD, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #1505132
Listed at $349,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,180 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189618282/333-Melody-RD-Lockhart-TX
Upper quartile: $395,000 and up
514 S Main ST, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #6003096
Listed at $435,000, 3 bed, 1 bath, 1,538 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188001524/514-S-Main-ST-Lockhart-TX
Key figures · Lockhart · October 2026
- 24 homes sold in Lockhart in October 2026 (up 71.4% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $324,950 (up 29.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $171.
- Median days on market: 79.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 87.5%.
- 128 homes for sale now, about 5.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Lockhart saw a clear divergence between new supply and demand in October as 35 homes were listed while only 24 sold. This gap of 11 net new listings occurred across 24 closed sales with a median price of $324,950. The dual-axis trend shows that new listings outpaced closings by 41.2%, creating a modest increase in available inventory for buyers.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the supply and demand balance using the count of new listings versus closed sales over the trailing 12 months. While the number of homes coming to market rose from 30 in September to 35 this month, the volume of transactions increased by 41.2% compared to the prior period. This suggests that while more sellers are entering the market, buyer activity is also accelerating, though not yet enough to absorb every new listing immediately.
The median days on market for these sales was 79 days, a 16.8% decrease from September but significantly higher than the same time last year. The supply gap remains a key indicator for pricing strategy; with 35 new homes entering the pipeline against 24 closings, competition among sellers is rising slightly, even as prices remain resilient compared to the prior year.
URL: https://alex.realestate/market-reports/lockhart
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and listing activity, October 2026, n=24 closed, n=35 new listings
Cover photo: Downtown Lockhart by Reading Associate 17, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










