Caldwell County: New Listings Outpace Closings in October

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 201 E Lima DR, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #2665592 · Listed by Keller Williams City-View. ALEX valuation $219,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $216,000 201 E Lima DR, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #2665592 Listed at $209,990, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,411 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177624308/201-E-Lima-DR-Maxwell-TX Lower-middle quartile: $216,000 to $243,000 132 Kendall LN, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #1502252 Listed at $228,500, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,419 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179471859/132-Kendall-LN-Maxwell-TX Upper-middle quartile: $243,000 to $350,000 401 Wild Goose DR, Luling TX 78648 · MLS #9371243 Listed at $243,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,572 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179417412/401-Wild-Goose-DR-Luling-TX Upper quartile: $350,000 and up 244 Melody RD, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #5597103 Listed at $609,900, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,593 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180622953/244-Melody-RD-Lockhart-TX

Key figures · Caldwell County · October 2026

42 homes sold in Caldwell County in October 2026 (up 121.1% on a year earlier).

Median net sale price: $258,628 (up 3.5% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $152.

Median days on market: 66.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.7%.

227 homes for sale now, about 5.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Caldwell County saw 65 new listings enter the market in October while only 42 homes closed, creating a supply gap that is expanding inventory. This pattern marks a shift from the tighter conditions seen a year ago when just 19 sales occurred alongside 84 new listings. The dual-axis trend shows activity outpacing absorption. With 65 new entries and 42 closings, the net change adds to the current stock of 227 active homes. This dynamic has pushed months of inventory to 5.65, calculated by dividing active listings by the trailing monthly closing rate. Median prices rose slightly to $258,628, up 0.8% from September and 3.5% from October 2025. However, homes are taking longer to sell, with median days on market jumping to 66 days, a 34.7% increase from the prior month. The share of homes selling below original list price also climbed to 90.5%, up 19.4 percentage points compared to September. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the supply and demand balance using monthly closed sales and new listing counts. The data indicates a transition toward a more balanced or buyer-favorable environment as new supply consistently exceeds the rate of closings. This gap suggests buyers have more options, while sellers face increased competition for attention in October. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog

George Arnold Alexander III, MPA

Partner, ALEX Companies

Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC

Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL

[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951

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