Caldwell County October Market Recap and Outlook

Deal of the Week

454 Dubai Ave, Maxwell TX 78656
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $216,000 454 Dubai Ave, Maxwell TX 78656 · MLS #6280807 Listed at $214,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,575 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189456380/454-Dubai-Ave-Maxwell-TX Lower-middle quartile: $216,000 to $243,000 304 Wild Goose DR, Luling TX 78648 · MLS #2351478 Listed at $238,500, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,572 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179453404/304-Wild-Goose-DR-Luling-TX Upper-middle quartile: $243,000 to $350,000 2203 LIONHEART DR, Luling TX 78648 · MLS #8625433 Listed at $247,500, 5 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,892 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 15% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178281973/2203-LIONHEART-DR-Luling-TX Upper quartile: $350,000 and up 100 Little El Paso RD, Martindale TX 78655 · MLS #6747369 Listed at $799,500, 4 bed, 5 bath, 3,850 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182522602/100-Little-El-Paso-RD-Martindale-TX

Key figures · Caldwell County · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

Caldwell County saw a significant surge in activity this month, with closed sales rising 30.3% compared to September and jumping 126.3% from the same time last year. The median sale price reached $272,000, marking a 4.6% increase over the prior month and an 8.2% gain compared to October 2025. This volume of 43 closed transactions across the county reflects a robust market recovery. While prices climbed, homes took longer to sell, with the median days on market rising 26.5% from September to 62 days and up 67.6% compared to last year. The share of homes selling below original list price also increased significantly, reaching 90.7% of sales, up from 75.8% in the prior month. New construction remained a strong component of the market, accounting for 22 of the 43 closed sales. Inventory levels stood at 6.02 months, indicating a balanced environment where supply and demand are relatively stable. The median price per square foot also rose to $159, up 4.6% from September and 8.2% year-over-year. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the full dataset of 43 transactions to determine these trends. The data shows that while affordability pressures persist with higher days on market, the volume of activity suggests strong buyer engagement in October. This monthly rollup captures the essential shifts in pricing, speed, and supply for Caldwell County real estate. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=43
Cover photo: Lockhart State Park, Caldwell County by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
View this home on alex.realestateDownload the PDFDownload the videoSchedule a showing
Slide 1Slide 2Slide 3Slide 4Slide 5Slide 6Slide 7Slide 8Slide 9Slide 10Slide 11
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov