Marble Falls Market Recap: Prices Dip as Sales Volume Shifts

Deal of the Week

421 Lone Cedar RD, Marble Falls TX 78654
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $290,000 421 Lone Cedar RD, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #3436981 Listed at $275,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,596 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189341551/421-Lone-Cedar-RD-Marble-Falls-TX Lower-middle quartile: $290,000 to $339,000 421 Hailstone LN, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #6802981 Listed at $295,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,900 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190079685/421-Hailstone-LN-Marble-Falls-TX Upper-middle quartile: $339,000 to $504,000 212 Firethorn RD, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #7334987 Listed at $499,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,632 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191863076/212-Firethorn-RD-Marble-Falls-TX Upper quartile: $504,000 and up 23521 Flat Creek DR, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #8139883 Listed at $1,150,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,644 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179144994/23521-Flat-Creek-DR-Marble-Falls-TX

Key figures · Marble Falls · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

All Marble Falls market figures and ALEX agents

What does a 22.7% drop in median home prices mean for buyers and sellers in Marble Falls? The data from the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, reveals a market adjusting to shifting conditions. Across 96 closed sales, the median price settled at $327,698, down from $424,000 during the same period last year. While prices have softened, homes are selling slightly faster than they did in the prior six-month window. The median days on market dropped to 71 days, a 13.4% improvement compared to the previous period, though still up from 66 days in the broader region. Sellers are also seeing improved negotiation outcomes; the median close-to-original list ratio rose to 92.6%, indicating buyers are paying closer to asking prices than they did previously. Inventory levels remain a key factor, with 7.11 months of supply currently available. This figure suggests a market that is leaning toward buyer leverage, as it exceeds the six-month threshold often cited as balanced. Despite the price adjustments, the volume of activity remains steady, with 96 homes closing compared to 98 in the prior period and 101 last year. ALEX Intelligence analyzed these trends to provide a clear snapshot of current market dynamics. The data reflects a period where affordability has improved for buyers due to lower entry prices, while sellers face longer selling times and reduced final sale values compared to the previous year. This recap summarizes the key movements in Marble Falls real estate over the last half-year. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=96
Cover photo: Marble Falls from U.S. 281 by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov