Marble Falls vs. Neighbors: Prices Down, Sales Up

Deal of the Week

421 Lone Cedar RD, Marble Falls TX 78654
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $290,000 421 Lone Cedar RD, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #3436981 Listed at $275,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,596 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189341551/421-Lone-Cedar-RD-Marble-Falls-TX Lower-middle quartile: $290,000 to $339,000 421 Hailstone LN, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #6802981 Listed at $295,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,900 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190079685/421-Hailstone-LN-Marble-Falls-TX Upper-middle quartile: $339,000 to $504,000 212 Firethorn RD, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #7334987 Listed at $499,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,632 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191863076/212-Firethorn-RD-Marble-Falls-TX Upper quartile: $504,000 and up 23521 Flat Creek DR, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #8139883 Listed at $1,150,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,644 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179144994/23521-Flat-Creek-DR-Marble-Falls-TX

Key figures · Marble Falls · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

All Marble Falls market figures and ALEX agents

Marble Falls median home prices have fallen 22.2% compared to the same six-month period last year, settling at $330,000 across 95 closed sales. This decline contrasts with a regional benchmark where the median price sits at $398,237. While Marble Falls buyers are paying less per square foot ($181) than the region average of $198, the local market is moving faster than its neighbor, Burnet County, where homes sit on the market for 118 days compared to just 70 days in Marble Falls. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the supply gap by comparing new listings against closings over the trailing six months. The city saw 167 new listings and 95 closed sales, creating a current inventory of 118 active homes. This volume results in 7.4 months of supply, indicating a buyer-favorable environment where prices are under pressure. The data reveals a distinct divergence between Marble Falls and the broader region. Although the median price per square foot has dropped 16.3% from last year, the ratio of final sale price to original list price has improved slightly to 92.7%, suggesting buyers are negotiating closer to asking prices than they were a year ago. Meanwhile, homes are selling 6.7% faster than this time last year, even as the median living area shrinks by 2.4%. The market heat score reflects these dynamics: lower prices and faster turnover relative to Burnet County, but significantly lower valuations than the regional average. Buyers in Marble Falls are currently benefiting from a wider selection of homes at reduced price points compared to the previous year, while sellers face a competitive landscape where 93.7% of sales closed below the original list price. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=95
Cover photo: Marble Falls from U.S. 281 by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov