| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Marble Falls New Listings vs. Closings: The Supply Gap
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-31
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $291,000
284 Rock Springs DR, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #6825651
Listed at $247,499, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,720 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189872910/284-Rock-Springs-DR-Marble-Falls-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $291,000 to $340,000
1702 Sunset DR, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #5964228
Listed at $309,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 1,933 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178450614/1702-Sunset-DR-Marble-Falls-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $340,000 to $508,000
12257 E Fm 1431, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #8139694
Listed at $455,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,232 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 17% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186840778/12257-E-Fm-1431-Marble-Falls-TX
Upper quartile: $508,000 and up
516 Bosque TRL, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #7187352
Listed at $1,100,000, 3 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,125 sq ft. Listed 18% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177592781/516-Bosque-TRL-Marble-Falls-TX
Key figures · Marble Falls · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 97 homes sold in Marble Falls in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 3.0% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $325,395 (down 21.7% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $177.
- Median days on market: 60.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.7%.
- 125 homes for sale now, about 7.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Marble Falls, the balance between new supply and demand shifted over the past half-year as 146 homes hit the market while only 97 transactions closed. This activity occurred across a rolling six-month window ending September 30, 2026.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new supply versus closings to determine if inventory is accumulating or depleting. The data shows that while 146 new listings entered the market, the 97 closed sales were not sufficient to absorb them at the same pace. This divergence suggests a gradual build in available stock rather than a rapid drawdown.
The median price for these 97 closings settled at $325,395, down 6.6% from the prior six-month period. Meanwhile, the median days on market dropped to 60 days, a 28.6% improvement over the previous window, indicating that homes are selling faster even as new supply arrives.
For sellers, this dynamic means fresh listings face immediate competition but also benefit from a market where buyers are moving quicker than before. For buyers, the slight accumulation of inventory provides more options without the extreme scarcity seen in tighter markets. The supply gap remains a key indicator for pricing strategy in the coming months.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=97 closed sales and 146 new listings
Cover photo: Marble Falls from U.S. 281 by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










