Burnet Market Heat Score: A Cooling Trend in October

Deal of the Week

1104 S Boundary ST, Burnet TX 78611
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $294,000 1104 S Boundary ST, Burnet TX 78611 · MLS #9028782 Listed at $219,000, 2 bed, 1 bath, 776 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 17% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185098423/1104-S-Boundary-ST-Burnet-TX Lower-middle quartile: $294,000 to $335,000 108 Hayburner RD, Burnet TX 78611 · MLS #2597554 Listed at $299,990, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,792 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178801464/108-Hayburner-RD-Burnet-TX Upper-middle quartile: $335,000 to $541,000 213 Corder LN, Burnet TX 78611 · MLS #9991185 Listed at $384,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,321 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176591386/213-Corder-LN-Burnet-TX Upper quartile: $541,000 and up 517 WATERWAY LN, Burnet TX 78611 · MLS #9033654 Listed at $1,299,000, 2 bed, 2 bath, 2,524 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 18% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186653980/517-WATERWAY-LN-Burnet-TX

Key figures · Burnet · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

All Burnet market figures and ALEX agents

How does a market with 103 closed sales and a median price of $339,805 feel to buyers and sellers right now? The answer lies in the Burnet Market Heat Score, an ALEX Intelligence composite index that blends days on market, sale-to-list ratios, inventory levels, and price cuts into a single gauge from 0 to 100. Over the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, homes took a median of 79 days to sell, up 6.8% from the prior period and 3.9% higher than the same window last year. The share of homes selling below original list price rose to 86.4%, while the median close-to-original list ratio slipped to 91.1%. With 157 active listings and only 103 closings, months of inventory sits at 9.15, indicating a distinct shift toward buyer leverage. ALEX Intelligence calculated this heat score by weighting these four factors: days on market (25%), sale-to-list ratio (25%), inventory levels (30%), and price reduction frequency (20%). The resulting score for Burnet reflects the current conditions where slower sales velocity and higher inventory have dampened overall market momentum. This trend aligns with the broader regional context, though local conditions remain distinct. While mortgage rates held at 7.18% during this period, the combination of longer listing periods and increased price competition has shifted leverage to buyers. Sellers should expect more time on market and greater negotiation room in a market that is no longer favoring sellers. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=103; mortgage rates from Freddie Mac, week of Nov 5, 2026.
Cover photo: Buchanan Dam, west of Burnet by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov