| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Bertram Market Heat Score: A Balanced View for October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-26
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $255,000
314 Heavenly WAY, Bertram TX 78605 · MLS #6184332
Listed at $243,699, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,000 sq ft. Listed 20% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187442579/314-Heavenly-WAY-Bertram-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $255,000 to $303,000
307 Heavenly WAY, Bertram TX 78605 · MLS #1098163
Listed at $266,699, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,302 sq ft. Listed 21% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188533959/307-Heavenly-WAY-Bertram-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $303,000 to $500,000
3947 County Road 210, Bertram TX 78605 · MLS #1871907
Listed at $465,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,974 sq ft. Listed 16% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 22% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180687008/3947-County-Road-210-Bertram-TX
Upper quartile: $500,000 and up
301 Serenity DR, Bertram TX 78605 · MLS #1169471
Listed at $874,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 3,050 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188831785/301-Serenity-DR-Bertram-TX
Key figures · Bertram · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 71 homes sold in Bertram in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 16.4% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $311,999 (up 6.4% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $169.
- Median days on market: 56.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.3%.
- 70 homes for sale now, about 5.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Bertram's real estate landscape in late 2026 presents a distinct balance between buyer and seller dynamics. ALEX Intelligence calculated the Bertram Market Heat Score by synthesizing four key indicators: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. This composite index ranges from 0 to 100, where higher scores indicate stronger seller conditions and lower scores suggest a buyer's advantage.
Over the rolling six-month period ending September 30, 2026, the market recorded 71 closed sales with a median price of $311,999. This represents a 7.4% increase compared to the prior six months and a 6.4% rise year-over-year. However, the speed of transactions has slowed slightly, with homes spending a median of 56 days on market, which is 14.3% longer than the same period last year.
Inventory levels currently stand at 5.92 months, placing the market firmly in balanced territory rather than favoring one side exclusively. While the share of homes selling below original list price has decreased by 9.0% compared to the prior period, indicating slightly firmer pricing power, the median close-to-original list ratio remains at 94.3%. The data suggests that while demand is steady, buyers are not facing intense competition, and sellers must price realistically to move inventory within a typical two-month window.
The calculated heat score for Bertram reflects this equilibrium, signaling a market where neither side holds a decisive upper hand. Prospective buyers can expect a reasonable selection of homes, while sellers should anticipate a negotiation process that typically results in a final sale price slightly below the initial asking figure.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=71
Cover photo: Flanigans Bertram 2 Wiki (1 of 1) by Renelibrary, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










