Burnet County: New Listings vs. Closings Show Supply Gap

Deal of the Week

512 Heritage Groves RD, Bertram TX 78605
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $290,000 512 Heritage Groves RD, Bertram TX 78605 · MLS #1659119 Listed at $230,749, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,810 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184577080/512-Heritage-Groves-RD-Bertram-TX Lower-middle quartile: $290,000 to $365,000 220 Wheel Horse RD, Burnet TX 78611 · MLS #4454782 Listed at $329,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,334 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 21% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190556057/220-Wheel-Horse-RD-Burnet-TX Upper-middle quartile: $365,000 to $630,000 216 Firethorn CV, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #1093739 Listed at $537,325, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,846 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190551395/216-Firethorn-CV-Marble-Falls-TX Upper quartile: $630,000 and up 305 W Briar DR, Granite Shoals TX 78654 · MLS #6498710 Listed at $1,495,000, 5 bed, 4 bath, 3,545 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 21% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178307768/305-W-Briar-DR-Granite-Shoals-TX

Key figures · Burnet County · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

Burnet County is currently experiencing a distinct supply gap where new listings are outpacing closings. In October 2026, 101 new homes hit the market while only 50 sales closed, creating a net increase in available inventory. This dynamic contrasts with the prior month of September, which saw 87 new listings and 65 closings, indicating that the influx of new supply has accelerated relative to buyer demand. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of supply and demand to quantify this gap. The ratio of new listings to closed sales rose from approximately 1.34 in September to 2.02 in October. This shift suggests a growing pool of homes for sale, as the number of new entries nearly doubled the volume of transactions. The median price for these 50 closed sales was $380,000, up 21.8% from the prior month but down 20.8% compared to October 2025. While prices remain volatile year-over-year, the immediate effect of the listing surge is an expansion in months of inventory. With 496 active listings and a monthly close rate of roughly 50 homes, the market holds approximately 7.3 months of supply. For sellers, this environment implies increased competition as new properties enter the queue faster than they are absorbed. For buyers, the widening gap offers more selection but may extend time on market for individual properties. The data reflects a transition phase where supply is rebuilding after a period of tighter inventory. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and listing activity, October 2026, n=50 closed; n=101 new listings
Cover photo: Marble Falls from U.S. 281 by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov