| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Burnet County Market Heat Score: October 2026
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-07
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $290,000
322 E Castleshoals DR, Granite Shoals TX 78654 · MLS #4511157
Listed at $155,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,818 sq ft. Listed 35% below the ALEX valuation; 65% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187032239/322-E-Castleshoals-DR-Granite-Shoals-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $290,000 to $365,000
127 W Willow DR, Granite Shoals TX 78654 · MLS #3061348
Listed at $350,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,734 sq ft. Listed 19% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191037683/127-W-Willow-DR-Granite-Shoals-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $365,000 to $624,000
415 Saint Andrews ST, Meadowlakes TX 78654 · MLS #4474183
Listed at $515,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,482 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178635067/415-Saint-Andrews-ST-Meadowlakes-TX
Upper quartile: $624,000 and up
104 Running Brook TRL, Spicewood TX 78669 · MLS #4495833
Listed at $749,999, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,841 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1172327175/104-Running-Brook-TRL-Spicewood-TX
Key figures · Burnet County · October 2026
- 51 homes sold in Burnet County in October 2026 (down 10.5% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $410,000 (down 16.0% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $201.
- Median days on market: 101.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.3%.
- 504 homes for sale now, about 7.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Burnet County's market dynamics shifted significantly in October 2026, resulting in a composite Market Heat Score reflecting elevated inventory and slower sales velocity. This score is calculated using ALEX Intelligence methodology which weights days on market, sale-to-list ratios, inventory depth, and price reduction frequency against the region's activity levels.
The median closed sales price reached $410,000 across 51 transactions, marking a 30.6% increase from the prior month but remaining 16.0% below the same period last year. Homes took an average of 101 days to sell, up 17.4% from September and 6.3% higher than October 2025. Only 92.3% of the original list price was achieved on average, with 92.2% of homes selling below their initial asking price.
Current inventory stands at 504 active listings, creating a 7.4-month supply based on the trailing monthly closing rate. This high volume of available homes tempers the market heat despite the sharp month-over-month price appreciation. The ALEX Intelligence estimate indicates a market where buyers retain significant leverage due to extended time on market and abundant supply, even as prices show strong recent growth.
The composite index combines these factors: slower sales velocity (101 DOM), lower sale-to-list ratios (92.3%), and high months of inventory (7.4). While price growth is strong, the extended time on market and abundant supply suggest a cooling trend from previous peaks, preventing a seller's market classification.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=51
Cover photo: Marble Falls from U.S. 281 by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










