| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Belton Market Heat Score: A Balanced View for October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-27
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $290,000
526 Armstrong DR, Belton TX 76513 · MLS #4853151
Listed at $250,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,483 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184184774/526-Armstrong-DR-Belton-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $290,000 to $339,000
2123 Blackhawk LOOP, Belton TX 76513 · MLS #7379840
Listed at $328,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,658 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177744662/2123-Blackhawk-LOOP-Belton-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $339,000 to $520,000
3417 Waggoner DR, Belton TX 76513 · MLS #5657311
Listed at $380,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,342 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182530494/3417-Waggoner-DR-Belton-TX
Upper quartile: $520,000 and up
6258 Miller LN, Belton TX 76513 · MLS #2776847
Listed at $989,900, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,021 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 1% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187263977/6258-Miller-LN-Belton-TX
Key figures · Belton · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 92 homes sold in Belton in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 17.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $339,625 (down 0.1% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $165.
- Median days on market: 66.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.8%.
- 65 homes for sale now, about 4.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the Belton real estate market heating up or cooling down? ALEX Intelligence calculated a composite Market Heat Score for this city by weighing four key indicators: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. This score synthesizes complex data into a single metric ranging from 0 to 100 to indicate current market conditions.
The analysis covers the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, based on 92 closed sales. The median days on market dropped 22.4% compared to the prior period, falling to 66 days, while the share of homes selling below original list price decreased slightly by 1.2%. However, median prices dipped 0.7% to $339,625, and the median price per square foot fell 5.2% to $165. This combination of faster sales but softer pricing suggests a market that is active but negotiating-heavy.
With 4.15 months of inventory currently available, the market sits in a balanced zone rather than a strict buyer or seller environment. The composite score reflects this equilibrium, indicating that while properties are moving quicker than before, buyers still retain leverage on price. This data-driven assessment helps distinguish between perceived market speed and actual transaction terms for local residents.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Coverage: most home sales in Belton are listed in another MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=92
Cover photo: Nolancreek by NativeTexan55, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










