| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Smithville Market Heat Score: A Cooling Trend in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-13
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $258,000
407 Hill ST, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #9836504
Listed at $228,000, 2 bed, 1 bath, 1,036 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185871004/407-Hill-ST-Smithville-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $258,000 to $320,000
504 Leah LN, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #3505715
Listed at $275,000, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,610 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 14% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182738330/504-Leah-LN-Smithville-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $320,000 to $402,000
305 String Prairie WAY, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #8647092
Listed at $344,872, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,576 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1170952822/305-String-Prairie-WAY-Smithville-TX
Upper quartile: $402,000 and up
267 Corral RD, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #6254226
Listed at $635,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,471 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182520827/267-Corral-RD-Smithville-TX
Key figures · Smithville · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 55 homes sold in Smithville in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 71.9% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $315,000 (up 3.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $203.
- Median days on market: 100.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.7%.
- 69 homes for sale now, about 7.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Smithville buyers are facing a slower pace of activity, with homes staying on the market for an average of 100 days over the last six months. This marks an 85% increase compared to the same period last year, signaling a shift toward more buyer leverage.
ALEX Intelligence calculated a composite Market Heat Score for Smithville by weighing four key indicators: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. The resulting score reflects a cooling environment where supply is outpacing demand. With 7.53 months of inventory currently available, the market has moved well beyond the balanced threshold of six months, placing it firmly in buyer territory.
Median closed prices settled at $315,000, a slight decrease of 1% from the prior six-month period, though still up 3.2% year-over-year. The average home sold for 93.7% of its original list price, an improvement over the 88.7% seen previously, suggesting that while prices are softening, sellers are becoming more realistic in their initial pricing strategies.
The data indicates a market where patience is rewarded. With 55 closed sales and 69 active listings, competition among buyers has diminished significantly compared to the frenetic pace of late 2024 and early 2025. For those looking to purchase, the current conditions offer more negotiating room and less pressure to act immediately.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=55
Cover photo: McCaskill Building Smithville Texas 2026 by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










