Smithville Market Heat Score: A Cooling Trend in October

Deal of the Week

407 Hill ST, Smithville TX 78957
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $258,000 407 Hill ST, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #9836504 Listed at $228,000, 2 bed, 1 bath, 1,036 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185871004/407-Hill-ST-Smithville-TX Lower-middle quartile: $258,000 to $320,000 504 Leah LN, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #3505715 Listed at $275,000, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,610 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 14% under the local price per sq ft. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182738330/504-Leah-LN-Smithville-TX Upper-middle quartile: $320,000 to $402,000 305 String Prairie WAY, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #8647092 Listed at $344,872, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,576 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 3% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1170952822/305-String-Prairie-WAY-Smithville-TX Upper quartile: $402,000 and up 267 Corral RD, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #6254226 Listed at $635,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,471 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 2% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182520827/267-Corral-RD-Smithville-TX

Key figures · Smithville · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

Smithville buyers are facing a slower pace of activity, with homes staying on the market for an average of 100 days over the last six months. This marks an 85% increase compared to the same period last year, signaling a shift toward more buyer leverage. ALEX Intelligence calculated a composite Market Heat Score for Smithville by weighing four key indicators: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. The resulting score reflects a cooling environment where supply is outpacing demand. With 7.53 months of inventory currently available, the market has moved well beyond the balanced threshold of six months, placing it firmly in buyer territory. Median closed prices settled at $315,000, a slight decrease of 1% from the prior six-month period, though still up 3.2% year-over-year. The average home sold for 93.7% of its original list price, an improvement over the 88.7% seen previously, suggesting that while prices are softening, sellers are becoming more realistic in their initial pricing strategies. The data indicates a market where patience is rewarded. With 55 closed sales and 69 active listings, competition among buyers has diminished significantly compared to the frenetic pace of late 2024 and early 2025. For those looking to purchase, the current conditions offer more negotiating room and less pressure to act immediately. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=55
Cover photo: McCaskill Building Smithville Texas 2026 by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov