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Smithville Months of Inventory Signals Buyer Market
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-30
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $252,000
302 Harris ST, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #7110006
Listed at $219,444, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,170 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176792886/302-Harris-ST-Smithville-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $252,000 to $320,000
404 Rivers ST, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #5316127
Listed at $299,900, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,120 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182515788/404-Rivers-ST-Smithville-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $320,000 to $400,000
504 Gresham ST, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #9932240
Listed at $364,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,664 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183383375/504-Gresham-ST-Smithville-TX
Upper quartile: $400,000 and up
2169 Highway 304, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #2622384
Listed at $475,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,910 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1146055420/2169-Highway-304-Smithville-TX
Key figures · Smithville · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 52 homes sold in Smithville in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 44.4% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $320,000 (up 1.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $209.
- Median days on market: 80.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.3%.
- 71 homes for sale now, about 8.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Smithville currently holds 8.19 months of inventory based on the pace of 52 closed sales over the last six months. This figure is calculated by dividing the current active listings of 71 homes by the average monthly sales rate. In real estate analysis, a balance between supply and demand typically sits at 4 to 6 months. Anything above that threshold indicates a buyer's market where inventory exceeds demand.
The data shows that homes are taking significantly longer to sell compared to last year. The median days on market has risen to 80 days, a 73.9% increase from the same period in 2025 when it was just 46 days. This extended timeline suggests buyers have more time to evaluate options and negotiate terms.
Furthermore, the market is seeing increased price flexibility. The median close-to-original list ratio stands at 0.923, meaning homes are selling for roughly 92% of their original asking price. Additionally, 84.6% of closed sales sold below the original list price, a figure that has risen by 5.0% compared to last year.
ALEX Intelligence classifies this market condition as a buyer's market due to the inventory level exceeding six months and the prevalence of price reductions. Buyers in Smithville today can expect more negotiating power and less competition for available properties than they would have faced a year ago.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=52 closed sales
Cover photo: McCaskill Building Smithville Texas 2026 by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










