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Smithville: How List Prices Compare to Final Sells
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-29
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $252,000
302 Harris ST, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #7110006
Listed at $219,444, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,170 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176792886/302-Harris-ST-Smithville-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $252,000 to $320,000
404 Rivers ST, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #5316127
Listed at $299,900, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,120 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182515788/404-Rivers-ST-Smithville-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $320,000 to $400,000
504 Gresham ST, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #9932240
Listed at $364,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,664 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183383375/504-Gresham-ST-Smithville-TX
Upper quartile: $400,000 and up
2169 Highway 304, Smithville TX 78957 · MLS #2622384
Listed at $475,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,910 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1146055420/2169-Highway-304-Smithville-TX
Key figures · Smithville · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 52 homes sold in Smithville in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 44.4% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $320,000 (up 1.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $209.
- Median days on market: 80.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.3%.
- 70 homes for sale now, about 8.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How much of their asking price did sellers actually receive in Smithville over the past half-year? The data shows a median close-to-original list ratio of 92.3% across 52 closed sales in the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026. This figure represents the final sale price divided by the original listing price, serving as a direct measure of negotiation outcomes for buyers and sellers.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed this metric to track how pricing strategies are playing out in the current market. The ratio has improved by 4.1% compared to the prior six-month period, rising from 88.7% to 92.3%. This shift indicates that homes are closing closer to their original list prices than they did earlier this year, even though the median sale price remained flat at $320,000.
Despite the improved ratio, 84.6% of these transactions still closed below the original list price. The median days on market also increased by 1.3% to 80 days, suggesting that while final prices are holding better, properties are taking longer to sell than in previous periods. In contrast, sales from the same period last year saw a slightly higher ratio of 92.7%, though the market was significantly faster with only 46 days on market.
The median price per square foot rose 7.7% to $209, while the average home size sold decreased by 6.5% to 1,632 square feet. These figures suggest a shift toward smaller homes selling at higher per-square-foot rates, even as the overall median price remains stable.
The market data reflects a period of adjustment where pricing discipline is becoming more critical, with sellers needing to align expectations with current buyer demand to achieve final sale prices near their original asks.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=52
Cover photo: McCaskill Building Smithville Texas 2026 by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










