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Elgin Entry-Level Homes: Can Buyers Afford the Market?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-04
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $250,000
116 Blue Ridge TRL, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #9459005
Listed at $219,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,296 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182519970/116-Blue-Ridge-TRL-Elgin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $250,000 to $283,000
205 Cavalry TRL, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #8799613
Listed at $252,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,663 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517539/205-Cavalry-TRL-Elgin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $283,000 to $321,000
111 Forego DR, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #2010485
Listed at $289,900, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,414 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189368137/111-Forego-DR-Elgin-TX
Upper quartile: $321,000 and up
307 W 4th ST, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #1648730
Listed at $409,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,077 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182519247/307-W-4th-ST-Elgin-TX
Key figures · Elgin · October 2026
- 37 homes sold in Elgin in October 2026 (up 2.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $266,000 (down 10.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $150.
- Median days on market: 64.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.2%.
- 283 homes for sale now, about 5.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Can a buyer afford an entry-level home in Elgin when the median price sits at $266,000 and mortgage rates hover near 7.24%? In October 2026, 37 homes closed with a median price of $266,000, down 10.6% from the same month last year. This represents the bottom quartile of sales activity for the city, offering a potential entry point for buyers who have been priced out by higher valuations in previous months.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the payment burden using current market rates and standard financing assumptions. For a buyer purchasing an entry-level home at the median price with 20% down, the principal and interest payment on a 30-year fixed loan at 7.24% would be approximately $1,450 per month. To make this more accessible, buyers can utilize buydowns. A standard 3-2-1 buydown costs roughly $9,852 upfront, reducing the initial rate to 4.24% and lowering the monthly payment to $1,046 in the first year. Alternatively, a 2-1 buydown costs about $5,004, dropping the rate for the first year and lowering the monthly payment to $1,174.
While the median price has decreased significantly compared to last year, the cost of borrowing remains a primary factor for affordability. The market shows that while prices are more attainable than in previous years, the monthly payment burden requires careful financial planning or the strategic use of buydowns to bridge the gap between list price and buyer budget.
The data reflects 37 closed sales in October, with the median living area at 1,795 square feet. This volume confirms that entry-level inventory is moving, though the pace remains sensitive to interest rate fluctuations. Buyers focusing on the bottom quartile of prices are finding more options, but the total cost of ownership still hinges heavily on financing terms.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=37
Cover photo: Elgin Commercial Historic District by Renelibrary, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










