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Elgin List-to-Sale Price Ratio Explained
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-29
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $250,000
610 Mogonye LN, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #9438659
Listed at $195,000, 2 bed, 1 bath, 1,306 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189397564/610-Mogonye-LN-Elgin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $250,000 to $285,000
13605 Endless Narrow LN, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #1452735
Listed at $275,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,604 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1160950697/13605-Endless-Narrow-LN-Elgin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $285,000 to $323,000
13705 Backbone LN, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #6836126
Listed at $305,999, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,314 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184865160/13705-Backbone-LN-Elgin-TX
Upper quartile: $323,000 and up
421 Las Lomas DR, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #7190861
Listed at $369,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,000 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178527249/421-Las-Lomas-DR-Elgin-TX
Key figures · Elgin · September 2026
- 51 homes sold in Elgin in September 2026 (up 18.6% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $286,499 (down 7.4% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $152.
- Median days on market: 61.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.4%.
- 289 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In September, buyers in Elgin paid a median of $286,499 for homes that originally listed for more, resulting in a list-to-sale price ratio of 95.4%. This figure represents the final sale price divided by the original asking price across 51 closed sales. The ratio improved to 95.4% from 92.4% in August and is slightly higher than the 94.3% recorded in September 2025.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing dynamics to show how negotiation outcomes have shifted. While 78.4% of homes sold below their original list price, the average gap between asking and selling prices narrowed compared to the prior month. The median price per square foot also adjusted, dropping 2.6% from August to $152, while the median living area grew by 6.4%.
The data indicates a market where sellers are still accepting offers below their initial requests, but the discount required is shrinking. With 51 closed sales in the trailing month, this trend reflects current buyer and seller expectations in Elgin. The median days on market also decreased by 17.6% to 61 days, suggesting properties are moving faster even as price adjustments remain common.
This analysis relies on actual transaction data rather than listing activity, providing a clear view of the final agreed-upon values for residential properties in the city during this period.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=51
Cover photo: Elgin Commercial Historic District by Renelibrary, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










