| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Cedar Creek: Is It a Buyer's Market?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-11
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $334,000
153 Ayres Horn, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #2556982
Listed at $329,900, 4 bed, 4 bath, 1,956 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188418849/153-Ayres-Horn-Cedar-Creek-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $334,000 to $375,000
444 Boondoggle RDG, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #1476538
Listed at $365,990, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,812 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 28% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191447278/444-Boondoggle-RDG-Cedar-Creek-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $375,000 to $538,000
175 Wild Horse DR, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #5301415
Listed at $475,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,819 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185397125/175-Wild-Horse-DR-Cedar-Creek-TX
Upper quartile: $538,000 and up
169 Old 71, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #3502367
Listed at $655,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,508 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182524070/169-Old-71-Cedar-Creek-TX
Key figures · Cedar Creek · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 103 homes sold in Cedar Creek in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 2.0% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $358,900 (down 10.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $176.
- Median days on market: 78.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.8%.
- 106 homes for sale now, about 6.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is Cedar Creek currently a buyer's or seller's market? The answer lies in the months of inventory metric, which measures how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace. In Cedar Creek, that figure stands at 6.17 months based on 103 closed sales over the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026.
ALEX Intelligence classifies markets using this gauge: less than 4 months indicates a seller's market, 4 to 6 months is balanced, and more than 6 months signals a buyer's market. At 6.17 months, Cedar Creek has just crossed the threshold into buyer territory, though it remains close to the balanced range. This shift reflects a change from the prior six-month period when inventory was lower, giving buyers slightly more leverage in negotiations.
The data shows that 91.3% of homes sold below their original list price during this window, compared to 78.2% in the same period last year. Median prices are down 10.3% from the same period a year ago, while the median sale price remains $358,900 across 103 transactions. For sellers, this suggests that pricing accurately from the start is critical, as homes are taking longer to sell with a median of 78 days on market.
Buyers entering Cedar Creek now face a landscape where supply is growing faster than demand, creating opportunities for negotiation without the pressure of bidding wars seen in tighter markets. The market remains active, but the balance has tipped in favor of those looking to purchase.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=103
Cover photo: CedarCreekHSBastropISDTX by WhisperToMe, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










