Cedar Creek: How List Prices Compare to Final Sales

Deal of the Week

153 Ayres Horn, Cedar Creek TX 78612
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $334,000 153 Ayres Horn, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #2556982 Listed at $329,900, 4 bed, 4 bath, 1,956 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188418849/153-Ayres-Horn-Cedar-Creek-TX Lower-middle quartile: $334,000 to $375,000 444 Boondoggle RDG, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #1476538 Listed at $365,990, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,812 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 28% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191447278/444-Boondoggle-RDG-Cedar-Creek-TX Upper-middle quartile: $375,000 to $538,000 175 Wild Horse DR, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #5301415 Listed at $475,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,819 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185397125/175-Wild-Horse-DR-Cedar-Creek-TX Upper quartile: $538,000 and up 169 Old 71, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #3502367 Listed at $655,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,508 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182524070/169-Old-71-Cedar-Creek-TX

Key figures · Cedar Creek · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

In Cedar Creek, homes are closing at 90.8% of their original list price on average across the last six months. This figure represents the median close-to-original list ratio, a metric that tracks how closely final sale prices match the initial asking price when sellers first list a property. ALEX Intelligence analyzed 103 closed sales to determine this trend. The current ratio of 0.908 is up 4.8% compared to the prior six-month period, where homes sold for 86.6% of their original list price. However, this remains 3.4% lower than the same window a year ago, when the ratio stood at 0.94. The data also shows that 91.3% of these sales closed below the original list price, a slight decrease from the 94.3% observed in the prior period but significantly higher than the 78.2% recorded twelve months ago. While the median close price dropped 2.0% from the prior six-month window to $358,900, the narrowing gap between list and sale prices suggests a shift in negotiation dynamics for sellers in this market segment. This analysis is based on single-family home sales with prices net of seller-paid concessions. The sample size of 103 closed transactions provides a robust view of pricing behavior over the rolling six-month window ending October 31, 2026. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=103
Cover photo: CedarCreekHSBastropISDTX by WhisperToMe, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov