Cedar Creek Market Pulse: Prices Dip, Sales Rise in Rolling Six Months

Deal of the Week

235 Red Tail Hawk LN, Cedar Creek TX 78612
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $334,000 235 Red Tail Hawk LN, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #1582735 Listed at $324,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,005 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182519875/235-Red-Tail-Hawk-LN-Cedar-Creek-TX Lower-middle quartile: $334,000 to $376,000 156 Coopers Hawk CRST, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #1381713 Listed at $349,990, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,044 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183808116/156-Coopers-Hawk-CRST-Cedar-Creek-TX Upper-middle quartile: $376,000 to $540,000 197 Wild Horse DR, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #9640981 Listed at $500,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,060 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179669258/197-Wild-Horse-DR-Cedar-Creek-TX Upper quartile: $540,000 and up 184 Wild Horse DR, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #6248025 Listed at $599,000, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,628 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180256540/184-Wild-Horse-DR-Cedar-Creek-TX

Key figures · Cedar Creek · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

Median home prices in Cedar Creek fell 4.5% to $370,000 over the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, based on 103 closed sales. This represents a 9.8% decline compared to the same period last year when the median was $410,000. Despite the price drop, market activity accelerated significantly as homes sold faster than in the prior six-month window. The median days on market dropped 51.1% to 66 days, down from 135 days previously, though this remains 46.7% higher than the same period last year when homes sold in just 45 days. Buyers are negotiating closer to list prices now; the median close-to-original list ratio improved to 90.8%, up from 86.6% in the prior period, yet still trails the 94% achieved a year ago. Inventory levels remain tight with 110 active listings and 103 closed sales over the last six months, resulting in 6.41 months of supply. This places Cedar Creek in a balanced market condition where neither buyers nor sellers hold a distinct advantage. The median price per square foot also decreased 1.6% to $180, reflecting the broader price correction while home sizes remained stable at 2,237 square feet. Current mortgage rates stand at 7.18% according to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey for the week of November 5, 2026. At this rate and a median sale price of $370,000, the principal and interest payment is approximately $2,005 per month based on ALEX Intelligence estimates using standard financing assumptions. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling six months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=103
Cover photo: CedarCreekHSBastropISDTX by WhisperToMe, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov