Cedar Creek Market Heat Score: Speed vs. Price in Oct

Deal of the Week

411 Texas Oak DR, Cedar Creek TX 78612
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $334,000 411 Texas Oak DR, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #6270701 Listed at $299,990, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,046 sq ft. Listed 18% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189769506/411-Texas-Oak-DR-Cedar-Creek-TX Lower-middle quartile: $334,000 to $376,000 131 Coopers Hawk CRST, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #7509344 Listed at $368,990, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,577 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183821278/131-Coopers-Hawk-CRST-Cedar-Creek-TX Upper-middle quartile: $376,000 to $539,000 116 Andaman Roost, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #7930500 Listed at $381,990, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,812 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183031696/116-Andaman-Roost-Cedar-Creek-TX Upper quartile: $539,000 and up 319 Lonesome Dove DR, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #4280046 Listed at $550,000, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,120 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186741847/319-Lonesome-Dove-DR-Cedar-Creek-TX

Key figures · Cedar Creek · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

How fast is Cedar Creek selling compared to last year? The median days on market has dropped by 42.1% to 66 days over the trailing six months, even as the median sale price fell 10.7% to $369,990. ALEX Intelligence calculated a Market Heat Score for Cedar Creek using a composite index that weights speed of sale, list-to-sale ratio, and inventory levels. This score reflects a balanced market where homes are moving faster than the prior period but prices remain below last year's peaks. The median close-to-original-list ratio improved to 90.8%, up from 87% in the prior six-month window, indicating sellers are recovering some pricing power despite lower final sale prices. Inventory remains steady with 110 active listings and a months of supply reading of 6.06. While the market is not yet a seller's market, the significant reduction in time on market suggests increased buyer urgency. The median price per square foot sits at $182, down slightly from the prior period but still reflecting the lower overall price point compared to the same time last year when the median was $414,434. The heat score integrates these moving parts: faster sales and improved negotiation ratios offset by a 10.7% drop in median price and a 6-month supply level that favors neither side exclusively. For buyers, this indicates a window where competition is easing but speed remains a factor. For sellers, the data suggests pricing must align with current valuations to achieve the observed 66-day average time on market. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
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Partner, ALEX Companies
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=107
Cover photo: CedarCreekHSBastropISDTX by WhisperToMe, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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