Cedar Creek Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check

Deal of the Week

411 Texas Oak DR, Cedar Creek TX 78612
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $334,000 411 Texas Oak DR, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #6270701 Listed at $299,990, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,046 sq ft. Listed 18% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189769506/411-Texas-Oak-DR-Cedar-Creek-TX Lower-middle quartile: $334,000 to $376,000 131 Coopers Hawk CRST, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #7509344 Listed at $368,990, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,577 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183821278/131-Coopers-Hawk-CRST-Cedar-Creek-TX Upper-middle quartile: $376,000 to $539,000 116 Andaman Roost, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #7930500 Listed at $381,990, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,812 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183031696/116-Andaman-Roost-Cedar-Creek-TX Upper quartile: $539,000 and up 319 Lonesome Dove DR, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #4280046 Listed at $550,000, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,120 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186741847/319-Lonesome-Dove-DR-Cedar-Creek-TX

Key figures · Cedar Creek · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Cedar Creek today? The median price for the bottom quartile of sales sits at $369,990 across 107 closed transactions over the last six months. This figure represents the most affordable tier available in the market right now. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the current mortgage environment to determine buying power. With a 30-year fixed rate at 7.32% as of late October 2026, a buyer faces a principal and interest payment of $2,033 per month on this median price. This calculation uses the median sale price of $369,990 and assumes standard financing terms. The market has shifted significantly compared to last year. While entry-level prices are lower than the 10% threshold for luxury homes ($655,000), the cost of borrowing remains high. A 3-2-1 buydown would reduce the first-year rate to 4.32%, lowering the monthly payment to $1,468 and saving $565 per month, though it costs $13,776 upfront. Without a buydown, the full 7.32% rate applies immediately. Inventory for these homes remains tight, with only 108 active listings today against 109 closings in the prior six months. This creates a competitive environment where buyers must act quickly on properties priced near the median. The data shows that while prices have dipped slightly from last year, financing costs remain the primary factor influencing affordability for entry-level purchasers. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
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Partner, ALEX Companies
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=107
Cover photo: CedarCreekHSBastropISDTX by WhisperToMe, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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