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Cedar Creek Market Recap: Prices Dip as Sales Slow in Rolling Six Months
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-23
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $334,000
411 Texas Oak DR, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #6270701
Listed at $299,990, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,046 sq ft. Listed 18% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189769506/411-Texas-Oak-DR-Cedar-Creek-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $334,000 to $376,000
131 Coopers Hawk CRST, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #7509344
Listed at $368,990, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,577 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183821278/131-Coopers-Hawk-CRST-Cedar-Creek-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $376,000 to $539,000
116 Andaman Roost, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #7930500
Listed at $381,990, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,812 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183031696/116-Andaman-Roost-Cedar-Creek-TX
Upper quartile: $539,000 and up
319 Lonesome Dove DR, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #4280046
Listed at $550,000, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,120 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186741847/319-Lonesome-Dove-DR-Cedar-Creek-TX
Key figures · Cedar Creek · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 107 homes sold in Cedar Creek in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 8.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $369,990 (down 10.7% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $182.
- Median days on market: 66.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.8%.
- 110 homes for sale now, about 6.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Cedar Creek saw its median home price drop to $369,990 in the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, down 2.0% from the prior six-month period and 10.7% lower than the same window a year ago. This analysis covers 107 closed sales across the city, providing a clear view of current market conditions compared to historical trends.
While prices softened, homes are selling faster than they did in the previous half-year. The median days on market fell to 66 days, a 42.1% improvement over the prior period, though still 50% higher than the same time last year when properties sold in just 44 days. Buyers and sellers are negotiating closer to list price now; the median close-to-original list ratio rose to 90.8%, up from 87% previously, even as it remains below the 95.5% seen a year ago.
The market also saw a shift in buyer composition. A higher share of sales closed below the original list price this period (89.7%) compared to last year (76.8%), indicating increased negotiation leverage for buyers. New construction activity remained robust, accounting for 56 of the 107 closings. With 110 active listings and a 6.06-month supply of inventory, the market remains balanced but leans slightly toward buyer conditions as price adjustments become more common.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed these rolling six-month figures to summarize the current state of Cedar Creek real estate, highlighting the interplay between pricing, speed of sale, and negotiation dynamics for local buyers and sellers.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=107
Cover photo: CedarCreekHSBastropISDTX by WhisperToMe, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










