The Colony: How List Prices Compare to Final Sales

In The Colony, homes are closing at an average of 91.8% of their original list price across 100 closed sales in the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026. This metric, known as the close-to-original list ratio, measures how closely final sale prices align with the initial asking price. A ratio below 100% indicates that buyers and sellers are negotiating down from the list price before closing. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing trends for single-family homes to determine this relationship. The data shows a median close-to-original list ratio of 0.918, up from 0.869 in the prior six-month period. This represents a 5.6% increase in the ratio compared to the previous window, suggesting that asking prices are becoming more aligned with final sale outcomes. Over the same period, the median close price rose 7.3% to $429,995, while the median days on market decreased by 10.3% to 104 days. The share of homes selling below their original list price dropped from 93.3% to 86%, indicating a slight shift in negotiation dynamics. These figures reflect the current balance between supply and demand for single-family homes in this Bastrop County community. The analysis is based on 100 closed transactions, providing a robust view of market behavior over the last half-year. Prices are reported net of seller-paid concessions to ensure accuracy in value assessment. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog