| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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The Colony Entry-Level Homes: Can Buyers Afford Them?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-02
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $370,000
216 George Neggan LN, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #3931307
Listed at $279,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,912 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 24% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189841461/216-George-Neggan-LN-Bastrop-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $370,000 to $425,000
131 Ironbark BND, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #6275783
Listed at $407,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,075 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1171876284/131-Ironbark-BND-Bastrop-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $425,000 to $538,000
120 Salado Creek TRL, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #8365561
Listed at $454,990, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,331 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183286867/120-Salado-Creek-TRL-Bastrop-TX
Upper quartile: $538,000 and up
187 Pioneer PSGE, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #8618654
Listed at $539,900, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,503 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183132227/187-Pioneer-PSGE-Bastrop-TX
Key figures · The Colony · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 97 homes sold in The Colony in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 24.4% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $439,900 (up 5.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $182.
- Median days on market: 63.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.3%.
- 81 homes for sale now, about 5.0 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Can buyers afford the most affordable homes in The Colony right now? ALEX Intelligence analyzed the entry-level segment to find out.
The median sale price for the lowest-priced quarter of homes sold over the last six months was $351,000. This figure represents the bottom quartile of transactions in the area during this period. At a current mortgage rate of 7.24%, a buyer with a loan amount of $351,920 would face a principal and interest payment of approximately $2,398 per month.
To understand the cost of financing relief, we modeled two common buydown options based on the median sale price of $439,900. A standard 3-2-1 buydown would reduce the rate to 4.24% in year one, saving roughly $669 monthly, but would cost about $16,308 over three years. A 2-1 buydown offers a smaller initial reduction, costing approximately $8,280 total.
The median home size for these entry-level sales was 2,488 square feet. While the median price per square foot has dropped 9% compared to last year, the absolute price point remains a significant hurdle for first-time buyers at current interest rates. The data shows that while homes are selling, the affordability threshold is tightly linked to financing costs and loan amounts.
ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=97
Cover photo: Ridgepointe Park, The Colony, TX by Kevin Payravi, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










