| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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The Colony: How Rates Affect Buying Power This Month
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-22
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $367,000
121 Shagbark TRL, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #4374306
Listed at $359,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,970 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182776754/121-Shagbark-TRL-Bastrop-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $367,000 to $422,000
112 Rosemary CT, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #9984521
Listed at $391,400, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,984 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1163997833/112-Rosemary-CT-Bastrop-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $422,000 to $538,000
134 Kildrummy PASS, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #2140332
Listed at $469,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,527 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183564895/134-Kildrummy-PASS-Bastrop-TX
Upper quartile: $538,000 and up
166 Kingswood DR, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #4491252
Listed at $549,900, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 2,810 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 21% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186376328/166-Kingswood-DR-Bastrop-TX
Key figures · The Colony · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 104 homes sold in The Colony in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 33.3% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $434,950 (up 3.7% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $183.
- Median days on market: 63.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.0%.
- 83 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a 7.32% mortgage rate mean for a buyer in The Colony today? With the median closed sale price at $434,950 across 104 homes over the last six months, monthly payments are sensitive to even small rate shifts. A standard purchase with a loan amount of $347,960 results in a principal-and-interest payment of $2,390 per month.
ALEX Intelligence modeled two common buydown scenarios to show how these costs play out. A 3-2-1 buydown lowers the rate to 4.32% in year one, cutting the monthly payment by $664 and saving $7,968 that year. The cost for this buydown is $16,188, or about 3.72% of the median sale price. A 2-1 buydown offers a smaller reduction with a rate drop in year one, providing a monthly saving of $453 and a total cost of $8,220, which represents 1.89% of the price.
These figures help buyers weigh upfront concessions against long-term affordability. While the median price rose 5.7% compared to the prior six-month period, higher rates can offset that gain for monthly budgets. The data reflects 104 closed sales and does not include taxes, insurance, or HOA fees.
ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales (rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026) and Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of Oct 22, 2026
Cover photo: Ridgepointe Park, The Colony, TX by Kevin Payravi, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










