Bastrop: Is the Market Balanced or Leaning to Buyers?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-12
Deal of the Week

This week's 5 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score:
1. 116 Flaming Oak DR, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #8220121
Listed at $159,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,456 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 43% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1172214843/116-Flaming-Oak-DR-Bastrop-TX
2. 502 Martin Luther King Jr DR, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #3456787
Listed at $165,000, 2 bed, 1 bath, 1,036 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 36% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521081/502-Martin-Luther-King-Jr-DR-Bastrop-TX
3. 120 Faldyn ST, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #2716478
Listed at $120,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,692 sq ft. Listed 30% below the ALEX valuation; 63% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 31% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187495244/120-Faldyn-ST-Bastrop-TX
4. 191 Weaver LN, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #2800514
Listed at $307,998, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,050 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1169544006/191-Weaver-LN-Bastrop-TX
5. 162 Indian Oak DR, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #7845201
Listed at $275,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,820 sq ft. Listed 18% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 21% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184791970/162-Indian-Oak-DR-Bastrop-TX
Is the Bastrop housing market currently favoring buyers or sellers? The answer lies in the months of inventory metric, which measures how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace. In September 2026, Bastrop held 5.9 months of inventory across 326 active homes based on 46 closed sales.
This figure places the market firmly in balanced territory. A market is generally considered a buyer's market with less than six months of supply and a seller's market with more than six months. At 5.89 months, Bastrop sits right on the threshold where neither side holds a decisive advantage. This balance has persisted as sales volume fluctuated; closed sales dropped 19.3% from August to September but remain 22.0% higher than the same month last year.
The median sale price for these 46 homes settled at $375,000, a 6.7% decrease from August's $401,778 but an 8.5% increase compared to September 2025. Homes took a median of 58 days to sell, which is slightly slower than the prior month but significantly faster than the 69 days recorded last year. With 326 homes currently active and a steady flow of new listings, buyers have options while sellers face moderate competition.
ALEX Intelligence calculates this classification by dividing the total active inventory by the average monthly closed sales over the trailing period. This data-driven approach confirms that while prices corrected from their August peak, the market remains stable without extreme pressure in either direction.
https://alex.realestate/market-data/bastrop
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, September 2026, n=46
Cover photo: Bastrop by gillfoto, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










