Bastrop County: How List Prices Compare to Final Sells in October

Deal of the Week

1114 W 2nd ST, Elgin TX 78621
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $291,000 1114 W 2nd ST, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #8045317 Listed at $280,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,824 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184787188/1114-W-2nd-ST-Elgin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $291,000 to $345,000 138 Hornet ST, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #6262102 Listed at $298,450, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,698 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 4% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184166070/138-Hornet-ST-Elgin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $345,000 to $439,000 111 Cassins Nest, Cedar Creek TX 78612 · MLS #4388458 Listed at $400,990, 5 bed, 3 bath, 3,016 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190275382/111-Cassins-Nest-Cedar-Creek-TX Upper quartile: $439,000 and up 114 Upola CT, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #1479922 Listed at $574,900, 5 bed, 3 bath, 1,994 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1175755312/114-Upola-CT-Bastrop-TX

Key figures · Bastrop County · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

In October, buyers in Bastrop County paid a median of $330,545 for 84 single-family homes, settling at 92.7% of the original list price. This ratio has shifted slightly over the last year, as sellers accepted 91.7% of their asking prices during October 2025. The current market shows a median close-to-original list ratio of 0.927, indicating that while most homes still sell below the initial price, the gap between listing and selling has narrowed compared to the previous year. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing dynamics across these transactions to determine how closely final sales align with initial expectations. The data reveals that 83.3% of closed sales fell below their original list prices, a figure that has improved slightly from 91.3% in October 2025. This suggests that while price reductions remain common, the market is seeing fewer deep discounts than it did twelve months ago. The median price per square foot also reflects these trends, settling at $174.17 for the month, down 5.8% from the same period last year when it stood at $184.92. This decline in price per unit of living space coincides with a slight increase in time on market, which rose to 97 days compared to 84 days a year ago. These figures illustrate a market where negotiation remains a key component of the transaction process for both buyers and sellers. The analysis covers all single-family home sales in Bastrop County for October 2026, providing a clear view of current pricing behavior without projecting future trends. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=84
Cover photo: Bastrop by gillfoto, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov