| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
ABOR Region: How Rates and Buydowns Shape Buying Power in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-07
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $315,000
702 N 2nd ST, Copperas Cove TX 76522 · MLS #5446211
Listed at $119,999, 3 bed, 1 bath, 897 sq ft. Listed 20% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 25% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178326149/702-N-2nd-ST-Copperas-Cove-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $315,000 to $416,000
501 W Buck Street, Caldwell TX 77836 · MLS #7190909
Listed at $378,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 3,680 sq ft. Listed 22% below the ALEX valuation; 41% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178626501/501-W-Buck-Street-Caldwell-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $416,000 to $630,000
5810 Secrest DR, Austin TX 78759 · MLS #8657587
Listed at $515,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,183 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180761448/5810-Secrest-DR-Austin-TX
Upper quartile: $630,000 and up
20808 Sandy Brown LN, Webberville TX 78621 · MLS #5853320
Listed at $729,990, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,504 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1175728544/20808-Sandy-Brown-LN-Webberville-TX
Key figures · ABOR / Unlock MLS Region · October 2026
- 2,420 homes sold in ABOR / Unlock MLS Region in October 2026 (down 8.7% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $400,000 (down 7.0% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $205.
- Median days on market: 58.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.8%.
- 15,611 homes for sale now, about 5.0 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a 7.18% mortgage rate mean for a buyer in the ABOR / Unlock MLS Region? With a median closed price of $400,000 across 2,420 sales in October, the monthly principal and interest payment at that rate is $2,168. This figure assumes a loan amount of $320,000 on a 30-year fixed loan.
ALEX Intelligence modeled how buydowns alter this baseline to show their real-world impact on affordability. A standard 3-2-1 buydown reduces the interest rate to 4.18% in year one, cutting the monthly payment by $607 to $1,561. In year two, the rate rises to 5.18%, saving $415 per month, and in year three, it reaches 6.18%, saving $212. The total cost of this buydown is $14,808, or 3.7% of the median home price.
A shorter 2-1 buydown offers a slightly different profile. It lowers the rate to 5.18% in the first year and 6.18% in the second. The total cost is $7,524, representing 1.88% of the median price. While these tools reduce immediate monthly costs, they require upfront capital that could otherwise be used for a larger down payment or closing costs.
The data shows that while the median price dropped 1.2% from September and is 7.0% lower than October 2025, the high rate environment keeps monthly payments elevated. Buyers must weigh the temporary relief of a buydown against its total cost when evaluating purchasing power in this market.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=2,420; Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of Nov 5, 2026
Cover photo: Lady Bird Lake, downtown Austin by Oleg Yunakov, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










