ABOR Region: September 2026 Market Recap and Outlook
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-12
Deal of the Week

This week's 5 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score:
1. 710 Mickan ST, Copperas Cove TX 76522 · MLS #1348603
Listed at $100,000, 3 bed, 1 bath, 1,008 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; 32% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185725717/710-Mickan-ST-Copperas-Cove-TX
2. 1410 Luna ST, Austin TX 78721 · MLS #5114576
Listed at $189,000, 2 bed, 1 bath, 644 sq ft. Listed 29% below the ALEX valuation; 26% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 32% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182937323/1410-Luna-ST-Austin-TX
3. 1702 Rampart ST, Columbus TX 78934 · MLS #8367386
Listed at $315,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,687 sq ft. Listed 22% below the ALEX valuation; 35% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176423970/1702-Rampart-ST-Columbus-TX
4. 7541 Redrick DR, Austin TX 78747 · MLS #1301455
Listed at $344,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,761 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 58% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1159161421/7541-Redrick-DR-Austin-TX
5. 4707 Leslie Ave # A, Austin TX 78721 · MLS #6444665
Listed at $399,900, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,699 sq ft. Listed 17% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179999572/4707-Leslie-Ave-A-Austin-TX
The Unlock MLS region finished September with a median closed price of $410,000 across 2,636 transactions, holding steady compared to the same month last year. While sales volume dropped 13.5% from August, the average home size remained consistent at 2,026 square feet.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the full dataset of 2,636 closed sales to determine that the median price per square foot rose 2.0% to $205, reflecting a tighter supply relative to demand despite lower transaction counts. The market took longer to close in September, with the median days on market rising 21.7% to 56 days compared to August, though this remains 3.4% faster than the same period last year.
New construction activity accounted for 773 of the closed sales, representing a significant portion of the regional volume. The region currently holds 16,237 active listings, creating a months of inventory level of 4.96, which suggests a balanced market environment where neither buyers nor sellers hold a distinct advantage.
Mortgage rates stood at 7.4% based on the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey for the week of October 8, 2026. This rate environment influenced buyer behavior, with 83.4% of homes selling below their original list price, a figure that has shifted slightly from prior months. The data indicates a market adjusting to higher borrowing costs while maintaining price stability through the transition into the fall season.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=2,636
Cover photo: Lady Bird Lake, downtown Austin by Oleg Yunakov, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










