Travis County Inventory Signals a Balanced Market

Is the market tipping toward buyers or sellers? In Travis County, the answer lies in the months of inventory metric, which currently stands at 4.89 for September 2026. This figure is calculated by dividing the 6,490 active listings on hand today by the average monthly closings of roughly 1,325 homes over the trailing six months. A market is generally considered balanced when inventory falls between 4 and 6 months. At 4.89 months, Travis County remains in this neutral zone, suggesting neither side holds a decisive advantage. This stability follows a month where 1,024 homes closed at a median price of $506,500, up 3.4% from August but down slightly in price per square foot compared to the prior period. The supply gap has narrowed significantly compared to last year, when inventory levels were tighter and days on market were shorter. While the number of closed sales dropped 9.3% from September 2025, the median price rose 4.4%, indicating that demand remains resilient despite fewer transactions. For buyers, this balance means there is still a selection of homes available without the intense competition seen in seller-favored markets. ALEX Intelligence classifies this market condition as balanced based on the ratio of active inventory to recent sales velocity. As the year progresses, monitoring how this metric shifts will be key to understanding whether pricing power continues to hold or if conditions begin to favor buyers more strongly. Curious what your Travis County home would sell for today? Request a free ALEX Intelligence valuation. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951