San Marcos Entry-Level Homes: Can You Afford One in October?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-17
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $256,000
340 Navidad River DR, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #4925570
Listed at $172,999, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,380 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184684834/340-Navidad-River-DR-San-Marcos-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $256,000 to $320,000
105 El Mirage RD, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #2500731
Listed at $265,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,014 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182553068/105-El-Mirage-RD-San-Marcos-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $320,000 to $440,000
1013-1015 Sagewood TRL # 1015, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #7565068
Listed at $420,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 3,192 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185800507/1013-1015-Sagewood-TRL-1013-1015-San-Marcos-TX
Upper quartile: $440,000 and up
328 Bundleflower WAY, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #7464017
Listed at $474,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,529 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186060641/328-Bundleflower-WAY-San-Marcos-TX
Key figures · San Marcos · September 2026
- 50 homes sold in San Marcos in September 2026 (down 26.5% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $342,500 (up 2.4% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $183.
- Median days on market: 74.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.6%.
- 407 homes for sale now, about 6.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it take to buy an entry-level home in San Marcos today? For the bottom quartile of sales in September, the median price was $342,500 across 50 closed transactions. At a current mortgage rate of 7.32% from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, a buyer faces a principal and interest payment of $1,882 per month based on the ALEX Intelligence estimate parameters.
ALEX Intelligence applied a standard affordability model to this price tier to determine buying power. The calculation uses the median entry-level price of $342,500 and the 7.32% note rate. This monthly cost represents the baseline for buyers targeting homes in the lowest price quartile of the market.
While prices have risen 9.1% compared to August and 2.4% from September last year, the higher interest rate environment increases the monthly burden. Buyers must weigh the $342,500 median against the $1,882 payment requirement. The data shows that even at this entry level, financing costs are a significant factor in total affordability.
The sample of 50 closed sales provides a clear view of what is currently available for first-time or budget-conscious buyers. This figure represents the threshold where homes transition from entry-level to mid-range pricing in San Marcos.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, September 2026, n=50
Cover photo: San Marcos River by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










