Round Rock Entry-Level Homes: Can You Afford One in October?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-24
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $325,000
1307 Wroxton WAY, Round Rock TX 78664 · MLS #2823072
Listed at $245,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,374 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180722277/1307-Wroxton-WAY-Round-Rock-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $325,000 to $400,000
1927 Autumn Run LN, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #6302441
Listed at $390,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,661 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 23% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182516598/1927-Autumn-Run-LN-Round-Rock-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $400,000 to $515,000
4166 Kingsley Ave, Round Rock TX 78681 · MLS #6350195
Listed at $480,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,950 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 25% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185997681/4166-Kingsley-Ave-Round-Rock-TX
Upper quartile: $515,000 and up
2944 Clinton PL, Round Rock TX 78665 · MLS #5521996
Listed at $625,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,626 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178005568/2944-Clinton-PL-Round-Rock-TX
Key figures · Round Rock · September 2026
- 142 homes sold in Round Rock in September 2026 (down 2.7% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $405,000 (up 6.1% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $192.
- Median days on market: 42.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.8%.
- 651 homes for sale now, about 3.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Can a buyer afford an entry-level home in Round Rock right now? The median price for the bottom quartile of sales reached $405,000 across 142 closed transactions in September. At a current mortgage rate of 7.32%, the monthly principal and interest payment on a typical entry-level purchase is $2,226.
ALEX Intelligence applied an affordability model to these figures to determine what buyers need to qualify. This calculation uses the median sale price of $405,000 and assumes a standard 30-year fixed loan at the current rate. The result shows that while prices have risen 6.1% compared to September 2025, the higher interest rates significantly impact monthly cash flow for first-time buyers targeting this segment.
The data also reveals that homes in this price range are selling slightly slower than last year, with median days on market at 42 days compared to 58 days a year ago. However, the share of homes selling below original list price has increased, suggesting some negotiation room remains for qualified buyers.
For those considering a buydown, a 3-2-1 buydown would cost approximately $15,096 upfront, reducing the initial payment to $1,607 in the first year. A 2-1 buydown would cost about $7,668, lowering the first-year payment to $1,803. These tools can temporarily improve affordability but require significant cash reserves at closing.
The market for entry-level homes remains active, with 142 sales in September alone. Buyers should focus on properties priced near the median of this segment to maximize their purchasing power given current financing costs.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=142
Cover photo: Old Post Office, Round Rock by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov









