Pflugerville Months of Inventory: Buyer's or Seller's Market?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-14
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $335,000
406 Willow Wood DR, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #4502454
Listed at $290,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,024 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 23% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184830438/406-Willow-Wood-DR-Pflugerville-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $335,000 to $380,000
17910 YELLOW WARBLER WAY, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #9300677
Listed at $340,999, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,399 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186198671/17910-YELLOW-WARBLER-WAY-Pflugerville-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $380,000 to $462,000
3101 Fresh Spring RD, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #7525930
Listed at $425,000, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,934 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 22% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182781695/3101-Fresh-Spring-RD-Pflugerville-TX
Upper quartile: $462,000 and up
20101 Chayton CIR, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #9118539
Listed at $549,000, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,382 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183643282/20101-Chayton-CIR-Pflugerville-TX
Key figures · Pflugerville · September 2026
- 106 homes sold in Pflugerville in September 2026 (up 23.3% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $371,624 (down 6.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $194.
- Median days on market: 58.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.6%.
- 567 homes for sale now, about 4.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the Pflugerville housing market tipping toward buyers or sellers? The answer lies in the months of inventory metric, which measures how long it would take to sell all current homes at the current sales pace. In September 2026, Pflugerville recorded 4.54 months of inventory based on 106 closed sales and 567 active listings.
This figure places the market in a balanced zone. Historically, less than four months indicates a seller's market where demand outstrips supply, while more than six months suggests a buyer's market with ample choice. At 4.54 months, neither side holds a decisive advantage. Buyers can find options without extreme pressure, while sellers still face competition but retain reasonable pricing power.
The data shows 106 homes sold in September, down slightly from the prior month but up significantly compared to the same time last year. Median prices rose 3.1% from August to $371,624 across those sales. With inventory levels stabilizing near the four-month threshold, the market is neither overheating nor cooling rapidly.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the ratio of active listings to monthly closings to determine this classification. The result suggests a transition period where conditions are shifting toward equilibrium. For both buyers and sellers, this balance implies a need for realistic pricing and patience rather than panic or aggressive bidding wars.
The market remains steady as we move through the fall season.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, September 2026, n=106
Cover photo: New homes under construction, Pflugerville by KevinMoralesRealtor, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










