Marble Falls List-to-Sale Ratios Show Buyers Gaining Ground

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 24415 Singleton Bend RD E, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #8977895 · Listed by Schaible Realty. ALEX valuation $712,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

This week's 5 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score: 1. 24415 Singleton Bend RD E, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #8977895 Listed at $650,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,943 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179012084/24415-Singleton-Bend-RD-E-Marble-Falls-TX 2. 28701 Valley RD, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #8645852 Listed at $899,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,566 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180013444/28701-Valley-RD-Marble-Falls-TX 3. 417 Hailstone LN, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #1640839 Listed at $273,499, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,760 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190078874/417-Hailstone-LN-Marble-Falls-TX 4. 413 Verbena DR, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #1241167 Listed at $474,990, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,651 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1170041384/413-Verbena-DR-Marble-Falls-TX 5. 304 Feldspar LN, Marble Falls TX 78666 · MLS #4265825 Listed at $261,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,968 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183141478/304-Feldspar-LN-Marble-Falls-TX

Key figures · Marble Falls · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

97 homes sold in Marble Falls in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 3.0% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $325,395 (down 21.7% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $177.

Median days on market: 60.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.7%.

126 homes for sale now, about 7.6 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

In Marble Falls, homes are selling for less than their original asking price more often than not. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the list-to-sale price ratio across 97 closed sales to determine how much of the original list price buyers actually secured. The median close-to-original list ratio now stands at 0.927, meaning the typical home sold for 92.7% of its initial asking price. This figure represents a shift from the prior six-month period, where the ratio was 0.894. While homes are closing closer to list prices now compared to earlier in the year, the market remains distinct from the region-wide average of 0.941. Nearly all transactions, specifically 94.8% of sales, closed below the original list price. This trend indicates that buyers retain significant leverage in negotiations today. The data also reveals a divergence between price per square foot and total sale price. While the median close-to-original list ratio improved by 3.7% compared to the prior period, the median price per square foot rose 7.3% to $177. This suggests that while buyers are negotiating harder on the total sticker price, the underlying value per unit of living space has increased. Over the past year, the market has seen a 21.7% decline in median close prices compared to the same window last year. The ratio improvement of 1.2% year-over-year shows that while prices have dropped, the gap between asking and selling has narrowed slightly. For sellers, this data suggests that pricing at or slightly below market value is essential to avoid extended time on market, as the average home now spends 60 days before closing. ALEX Intelligence fit a pricing model to these local sales to estimate fair market value based on current negotiation trends. The median sale price of $325,395 reflects this adjusted reality where buyers are successfully securing discounts on their final purchase price. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951