Marble Falls Market Heat Score: What the Data Says
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-09
What does a composite market heat score indicate for Marble Falls buyers and sellers? ALEX Intelligence calculated this index using four key metrics: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the share of listings with price cuts. The score ranges from 0 to 100, where higher numbers indicate a hotter, more competitive market.
In the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, Marble Falls saw 94 closed sales with a median price of $329,515. While prices have dropped 20.7% compared to the same period last year, the market is moving faster. Median days on market fell to 60 days, a 28.6% improvement over the prior six-month period and an 11.8% drop from last year. However, inventory remains elevated at 7.55 months, and nearly all sales (95.7%) closed below the original list price, signaling continued buyer leverage.
The heat score reflects this tension: faster turnover is offset by lower prices and high stock levels. For sellers, this suggests that while homes are selling quicker than before, pricing must be realistic to compete in a market where 92.4% of the final sale price comes from negotiations below the initial ask. Buyers may find more opportunities as the median price per square foot remains 15.7% lower than last year, even as the average home size shrinks slightly to 2,060 square feet.
This analysis is based on 94 closed sales and does not predict future market direction. The score is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.
Want more detail on Marble Falls? Ask George for the full neighborhood report.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=94
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov




