Lockhart: How List-to-Sale Ratios Shifted in September

Deal of the Week

1111 Silent Valley RD, Lockhart TX 78644
This week's 5 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score: 1. 1111 Silent Valley RD, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #1970731 Listed at $155,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 1,979 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 52% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184981064/1111-Silent-Valley-RD-Lockhart-TX 2. 313 Melody RD, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #9901761 Listed at $440,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,797 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183372153/313-Melody-RD-Lockhart-TX 3. 218 Summit DR, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #8748754 Listed at $319,990, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,556 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 29% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1175325046/218-Summit-DR-Lockhart-TX 4. 314 Foxfire CV, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #7573686 Listed at $419,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,529 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182519466/314-Foxfire-CV-Lockhart-TX 5. 402 Trinity ST, Lockhart TX 78644 · MLS #4052048 Listed at $249,800, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,800 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 45% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177970389/402-Trinity-ST-Lockhart-TX
In Lockhart, the gap between asking and selling prices widened noticeably in September. Sellers accepted a median of $341,200 for homes that originally listed at higher prices, resulting in a list-to-sale ratio of 86.6%. This represents a 7.5% drop from the prior month's ratio of 93.6%, based on 14 closed sales. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between original list prices and final sale prices to track this shift. The data shows that 100% of these transactions sold below their original list price, compared to 88% in August. While the median price per square foot rose slightly to $165, the reduced ratio indicates buyers held more leverage in negotiations during this period. Compared to September 2025, the list-to-sale ratio remains lower at 86.6% versus 92.6% last year. This suggests that while prices have increased by 9.2% over the past year, the discounting behavior has become more pronounced in recent months. The median home size also grew to 1,892 square feet, up 9.2% from the prior month, potentially influencing the final negotiated values. For sellers, this shift signals a need to price competitively from the start. For buyers, it reflects an environment where offers below list price are increasingly common. The trend highlights how market dynamics can change quickly even within a single year. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=14
Cover photo: Downtown Lockhart, TX IMG 9187.JPG by Reading Associate 17, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
View this home on alex.realestateDownload the PDFDownload the videoSchedule a showing
Slide 1Slide 2Slide 3Slide 4Slide 5Slide 6Slide 7Slide 8Slide 9Slide 10Slide 11
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov