Liberty Hill: Where Prices Were Cut Most in September

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 125 High Valley DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2322271 · Listed by Opendoor Brokerage, LLC. ALEX valuation $362,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $379,000 125 High Valley DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2322271 Listed at $330,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,107 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186817379/125-High-Valley-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX Lower-middle quartile: $379,000 to $500,000 191 Covered Bridge TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #8928560 Listed at $449,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,392 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182995890/191-Covered-Bridge-TRL-Liberty-Hill-TX Upper-middle quartile: $500,000 to $675,000 301 Yaklin DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #8632660 Listed at $669,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,622 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 23% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1164190770/301-Yaklin-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX Upper quartile: $675,000 and up 112 Mescalero, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #1043163 Listed at $999,900, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,984 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185140853/112-Mescalero-Liberty-Hill-TX

Key figures · Liberty Hill · September 2026

88 homes sold in Liberty Hill in September 2026 (up 18.9% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $472,400 (up 5.8% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $199.

Median days on market: 76.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.2%.

500 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

In September, nearly nine out of ten homes sold in Liberty Hill for less than the seller originally asked. Across 88 closed sales, 86% of transactions ended below the initial list price, a figure that has risen slightly from 85.7% in August. This trend indicates that buyers held significant leverage to negotiate reductions before closing. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the full history of price changes for listings in this market to identify where cuts were most frequent. The data shows that while the median sale price dropped 8% from the prior month to $472,400, the frequency of price reductions remained high. In subdivisions like Butler Farms and Orchard Ridge, every single home sold required a price cut, with 100% of those transactions closing below the original asking price. The median days on market also increased by 11.8% compared to August, reaching 76 days. This longer exposure time often correlates with sellers adjusting their expectations downward to attract offers. While the median price per square foot remained stable at $199, the gap between list and sale prices widened as inventory levels shifted. For sellers, this data suggests that pricing accurately from day one is critical. For buyers, the current environment offers opportunities to negotiate below the initial sticker price in a market where 86% of deals required concessions to close. The trend reflects a shift toward buyer-favorable conditions compared to the same time last year, when only 82.4% of homes sold below list. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951