Liberty Hill Inventory Signals Buyer's Market in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-17
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $379,000
125 High Valley DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2322271
Listed at $330,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,107 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186817379/125-High-Valley-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $379,000 to $500,000
191 Covered Bridge TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #8928560
Listed at $449,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,392 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182995890/191-Covered-Bridge-TRL-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $500,000 to $675,000
301 Yaklin DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #8632660
Listed at $669,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,622 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 23% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1164190770/301-Yaklin-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper quartile: $675,000 and up
112 Mescalero, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #1043163
Listed at $999,900, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,984 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185140853/112-Mescalero-Liberty-Hill-TX
Key figures · Liberty Hill · September 2026
- 88 homes sold in Liberty Hill in September 2026 (up 18.9% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $472,400 (up 5.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $199.
- Median days on market: 76.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.2%.
- 500 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is there enough housing for everyone in Liberty Hill? The answer is yes, but the balance has shifted. With 4.85 months of inventory on hand at the end of September, the market has moved past the tight conditions seen earlier in the year and into territory that favors buyers.
ALEX Intelligence calculates months of inventory by dividing the current active listings by the average monthly closings over the trailing period. A reading near six months typically indicates a balanced market, while anything below four months usually signals a seller's advantage. At 4.85 months, Liberty Hill sits in a transitional zone where buyers have more choices and negotiating power than they did just a few months ago.
This shift is reflected in the pricing data. Median closed prices dropped 8% from August to $472,400 across 88 sales, while homes spent an average of 76 days on market, up 11.8% from the prior month. Despite the cooling pace, demand remains steady with sales volume up 18.9% compared to September 2025.
For sellers, this means patience is required. For buyers, the current inventory level suggests it is a favorable time to search for a home without facing intense bidding wars. The market is no longer moving at the rapid pace of last year, allowing more time for due diligence and negotiation.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=88
Cover photo: Stubblefield Building, Liberty Hill ("Stubblefield Building, Liberty Hill, Texas (8636273076)") by Nicolas Henderson from Coppell, Texas, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov









