Liberty Hill Monthly Recap and Outlook: September 2026
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-14
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $379,000
125 High Valley DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2322271
Listed at $330,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,107 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186817379/125-High-Valley-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $379,000 to $500,000
191 Covered Bridge TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #8928560
Listed at $449,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,392 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182995890/191-Covered-Bridge-TRL-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $500,000 to $675,000
301 Yaklin DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #8632660
Listed at $669,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,622 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 23% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1164190770/301-Yaklin-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX
Upper quartile: $675,000 and up
112 Mescalero, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #1043163
Listed at $999,900, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,984 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185140853/112-Mescalero-Liberty-Hill-TX
Key figures · Liberty Hill · September 2026
- 88 homes sold in Liberty Hill in September 2026 (up 18.9% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $472,400 (up 5.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $199.
- Median days on market: 76.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.2%.
- 498 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a median price of $472,400 with 88 closed sales tell us about the Liberty Hill market this month? The data shows a resilient market where prices are climbing despite a slight dip in volume compared to the prior month.
In September 2026, the median close price reached $472,400, representing a 5.8% increase from the same month last year when the median was $446,580. This growth occurred alongside an 18.9% rise in sales volume compared to September 2025. However, homes took longer to sell, with the median days on market rising to 76 days, an 11.8% increase from August and a 15.6% decrease from the prior year.
The price-to-list ratio averaged 91.2%, indicating that buyers negotiated slightly more effectively than in September 2025 when the ratio was 90.7%. A significant majority of sales, 86.4%, closed below the original list price. New construction accounted for 64 of the 88 closings.
Inventory levels stood at 498 active listings, creating a 4.83-month supply based on the trailing monthly pace. This suggests a balanced environment where neither buyers nor sellers hold absolute leverage. The median living area for sold homes was 2,557 square feet, slightly smaller than the 2,595 square feet seen in August but larger than the 2,438 square feet from the prior year.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed these trends to provide a clear view of current market conditions. The data reflects a market that is stabilizing with steady price appreciation and robust new construction activity, even as buyers take more time to close deals.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=88
Cover photo: Stubblefield Building, Liberty Hill ("Stubblefield Building, Liberty Hill, Texas (8636273076)") by Nicolas Henderson from Coppell, Texas, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov









