Liberty Hill Market Heat Score: What the Data Says

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 125 High Valley DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2322271 · Listed by Opendoor Brokerage, LLC. ALEX valuation $362,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $379,000 125 High Valley DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #2322271 Listed at $330,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,107 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186817379/125-High-Valley-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX Lower-middle quartile: $379,000 to $500,000 191 Covered Bridge TRL, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #8928560 Listed at $449,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,392 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182995890/191-Covered-Bridge-TRL-Liberty-Hill-TX Upper-middle quartile: $500,000 to $675,000 301 Yaklin DR, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #8632660 Listed at $669,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,622 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 23% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1164190770/301-Yaklin-DR-Liberty-Hill-TX Upper quartile: $675,000 and up 112 Mescalero, Liberty Hill TX 78642 · MLS #1043163 Listed at $999,900, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,984 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185140853/112-Mescalero-Liberty-Hill-TX

Key figures · Liberty Hill · September 2026

88 homes sold in Liberty Hill in September 2026 (up 18.9% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $472,400 (up 5.8% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $199.

Median days on market: 76.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.2%.

498 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Is Liberty Hill heating up or cooling down? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score for September 2026 reflects a balanced market where neither buyers nor sellers hold a distinct advantage. This composite index weighs four key factors: median days on market, the list-to-sale price ratio, months of inventory, and the frequency of price reductions. The score reflects a shift in momentum over the past month. Median days on market rose to 76 days, an increase of 11.8% compared to August, suggesting homes are taking longer to sell. Simultaneously, the share of homes selling below original list price climbed to 86.4%, while the median close-to-original list ratio dipped slightly to 91.2%. Inventory levels have also expanded, with 4.83 months of supply available today, up from tighter conditions earlier in the year. Despite these shifts, underlying demand remains steady. Closed sales reached 88 transactions, a 5.8% increase compared to September 2025, while median prices held at $472,400. The ALEX Intelligence model integrates these metrics to provide a single, defensible indicator of market temperature. For sellers, the score suggests patience is required; for buyers, it signals an environment where negotiation leverage is returning without a crash in values. This data-driven assessment replaces speculation with a clear view of current supply and demand dynamics. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951