Lago Vista: How List Prices Compare to Final Sales in September

In September 2026, homes in Lago Vista sold for an average of 90.3% of their original asking price across 11 closed sales. This represents a 5.5% drop from the prior month's ratio of 95.6%, though it remains 4.8% higher than the same period last year when homes sold at 86.2% of list. The list-to-sale price ratio measures the relationship between the final contract price and the original listing price. A ratio below 100% indicates buyers negotiated discounts, while a ratio above 100% suggests bidding wars. In Lago Vista, 81.8% of closed sales in September finished below the original list price, compared to 80% in August and 83.3% in September 2025. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing dynamics for these 11 transactions to determine how negotiation leverage has shifted. The median sale price was $389,000, down 7.4% from the prior month's $420,000, while the median price per square foot fell 8.9% to $204. While the market shows increased discounting compared to August, the ratio remains stronger than last year. This suggests that while buyers have more room to negotiate now than in September 2025, sellers are still holding firm on value relative to the previous month. The data reflects a market where price reductions are common but final sales prices remain close to original expectations for the majority of transactions. Curious what your Lago Vista home would sell for today? Request a free ALEX Intelligence valuation. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=11
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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