Kyle Market vs. Neighbors: Price and Activity Gap in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-23
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $270,000
305 Verano DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #7336455
Listed at $250,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,668 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182548712/305-Verano-DR-Kyle-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $270,000 to $319,000
133 Everglades DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #1043626
Listed at $288,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,179 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179975176/133-Everglades-DR-Kyle-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $319,000 to $390,000
179 Knots LNDG, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #7168161
Listed at $335,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,218 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180697555/179-Knots-LNDG-Kyle-TX
Upper quartile: $390,000 and up
164 Stock Pond TRL, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #7653377
Listed at $529,164, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,741 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 3% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177814784/164-Stock-Pond-TRL-Kyle-TX
Key figures · Kyle · September 2026
- 89 homes sold in Kyle in September 2026 (down 29.4% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $299,999 (down 9.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $167.
- Median days on market: 56.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.0%.
- 552 homes for sale now, about 4.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Kyle median home prices sat at $299,999 in September across 89 closed sales, a figure that trails the broader regional average of $407,250. This price gap persists even as Kyle matches its neighbors in market speed, with homes spending a median of 56 days on market, identical to both Hays County and the wider Unlock MLS region.
ALEX Intelligence benchmarked Kyle against two peer groups: Hays County and the full Unlock MLS region covering 18 counties. While Kyle's median price per square foot was $167, slightly lower than the regional average of $204, the ratio of final sale price to original list price remained consistent at roughly 95% across all three areas. This suggests that while Kyle homes are priced more accessibly, the negotiation dynamics and buyer willingness to pay relative to asking prices mirror the broader market conditions.
Inventory levels also show a divergence in scale. With 89 closed sales in September, Kyle represents a smaller volume of activity compared to the regional total of 2,710 closings. However, the time required to sell a home remains synchronized across the geography, indicating that local supply and demand factors in Kyle are moving in lockstep with the larger market trends despite the lower entry price point.
The data indicates that buyers seeking value in the region may find Kyle offers similar transaction speeds to more expensive areas, but at a significantly lower median cost of $299,999 compared to the regional $407,250. This comparison highlights how location and specific community characteristics drive price differences while market velocity remains a shared regional characteristic.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=89 for Kyle; n=322 for Hays County; n=2,710 for region
Cover photo: Kyle ("Kyle Texas") by Liveon001 ©Travis Witt, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










