Kingsland Market Heat Score: A Deep Dive into October 2026
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-24
Key figures · Kingsland · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 43 homes sold in Kingsland in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 19.4% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $995,000 (up 105.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $431.
- Median days on market: 92.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 89.1%.
- 84 homes for sale now, about 11.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does the ALEX Intelligence market heat score indicate for Kingsland in late 2026? The composite index combines median days on market, sale-to-list ratios, inventory levels, and price reduction frequency to produce a single gauge from 0 to 100. For Kingsland, the current reading reflects a market that is significantly cooler than last year, driven by a sharp increase in time on market despite soaring prices.
The composite index weighs four key factors: median days on market, sale-to-list ratio, months of inventory, and the share of listings with price cuts. In the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, Kingsland saw a median of 92 days on market across 43 closed sales, up 119% from the same period last year when homes sold in just 42 days. This slowdown is compounded by an inventory level of 11.72 months, indicating a distinct shift toward buyer leverage compared to the balanced or seller-favored conditions seen previously.
While prices have surged, with the median close price reaching $995,000 (up 105.6% year-over-year), the speed of transactions has decelerated. The median close-to-original list ratio dropped to 89.1%, meaning buyers are negotiating down from asking prices more frequently than in prior periods. Additionally, 93% of closed sales went below the original list price, a figure that rose 4.6% compared to the prior six-month window. These dynamics collectively lower the heat score, signaling a market where patience is rewarded and pricing strategy is critical for sellers.
The ALEX Intelligence estimate for Kingsland's heat score places it in the lower range of activity, reflecting the tension between high valuations and extended selling times. This data-driven view helps buyers and sellers navigate a landscape where price growth does not equate to rapid turnover. Understanding these composite metrics provides a clearer picture than any single number could offer.
Want these numbers for your street? Email [email protected].
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=43 closed sales
Cover photo: Texas - Hueco Mountains through Kingsland - NARA - 68149501 by Unknown authorUnknown author or not provided, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov




