Jarrell: How List Prices Compare to Final Sells in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-24
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $226,000
217 Flying Tigers TRL, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #6438799
Listed at $193,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,582 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187017358/217-Flying-Tigers-TRL-Jarrell-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $226,000 to $260,000
249 Firefox WAY, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7497838
Listed at $249,990, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,805 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178396199/249-Firefox-WAY-Jarrell-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $260,000 to $295,000
237 Escape WAY, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #5042720
Listed at $269,990, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,805 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182520408/237-Escape-WAY-Jarrell-TX
Upper quartile: $295,000 and up
212 Katie Elder DR, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #5598268
Listed at $299,999, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,568 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 22% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1173386668/212-Katie-Elder-DR-Jarrell-TX
Key figures · Jarrell · September 2026
- 57 homes sold in Jarrell in September 2026 (down 6.6% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $255,000 (down 3.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $145.
- Median days on market: 67.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.1%.
- 325 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In September, homes in Jarrell sold for an average of 94.1% of their original listing price across 57 closed sales. This close-to-list ratio represents a slight dip from the 94.5% achieved in August and remains just above the 93.5% recorded during the same month last year. The data indicates that while sellers are still receiving nearly full asking prices, the margin for negotiation has widened slightly compared to the prior month.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between original list prices and final sale prices to determine how much value buyers and sellers are capturing in current transactions. The median close price of $255,000 reflects a 6.4% increase from August's $239,750, yet the ratio suggests that homes are spending more time on the market before reaching agreement. With 86% of these sales closing below the original list price, buyers have gained leverage to negotiate down from initial asks.
The trend shows a shift in market dynamics where the gap between what sellers hope for and what the market bears is becoming more pronounced. While prices themselves are rising, the efficiency of achieving full list value has decreased slightly. This metric helps clarify that current conditions favor a balanced approach where listing at realistic prices remains critical to securing a sale within a reasonable timeframe.
Unlock MLS closed sales data, September 2026.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=57
Cover photo: Jarrell City Hall by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










