Jarrell: Is the Market Balanced or Leaning Buyers?

Is a market with 5.18 months of inventory a buyer's or seller's market? In Jarrell, the answer is leaning toward balanced conditions as the window for negotiation widens. Months of inventory measures how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace; a figure near six months typically signals a neutral market where neither side holds a distinct advantage. In September 2026, Jarrell recorded 49 closed sales with a median price of $259,900. This represents an 8.3% increase from August but remains 1.9% below the same month last year. The supply side shows 336 active listings, creating a ratio that suggests buyers have more choices than they did in the peak seller's market of early 2025. While the median days on market jumped to 70 days from 34 days in August, indicating homes are taking longer to sell, this is still below the 81-day average seen in September 2025. The share of homes selling below original list price rose to 87.8%, up from 78.7% in the prior month, further signaling that sellers may need to be more competitive on price. ALEX Intelligence classifies this market as balanced based on the inventory gauge. Buyers can expect more time to evaluate options and negotiate terms, while sellers should anticipate a longer sales cycle compared to the rapid turnover seen earlier in the year. The data reflects a cooling trend where supply is catching up to demand, stabilizing prices after recent volatility. Shopping in Jarrell? Tell us what you want and we'll send matching homes as they list. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, September 2026, n=49
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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